• The Rays are -155 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Red Sox vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Rays TV Channel: NESN | RATV

The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-155) on September 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Red Sox are 84-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 80-70 ATS.

Red Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 9-11, 4.71 ERA

Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Sogard has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+20.50 Units / 228% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.50 Units / 56% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Freddy Peralta has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 48% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.90 Units / 35% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 away games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 73-77 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -1.01% ROI).

• 84-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -2.27% ROI
• 70-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.65 Units / -10.95% ROI
• 80-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 1.87% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 80-70 against the Run Line (+20.7 Units / 11.41% ROI).

• 93-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.8 Units / 9.86% ROI
• 69-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -9.77% ROI
• 78-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 1.07% ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are 13-57 (.186) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are just 8-41 (.163) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are 70-2 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 31-24 (.564) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rays (seventh fewest runs allowed).

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 39-5 (.886) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 61-32 (.656) after a win this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 13-48 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are 91-48 (.655) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging .242 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of 58% on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have 129 extra-base hits out of 341 total hits (38%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .276 with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .268 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .444 in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .270 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 3.62 runs per game (286/79) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 68% of opposing batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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