- The Red Sox are -160 favorites vs the Reds
- Red Sox vs Reds Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Red Sox / Reds TV Channel: WXIX | NESN | RDTV
The Boston Red Sox (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on March 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Red Sox are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 0-0 ATS.
Red Sox vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Red Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -105 | -160 |
| Reds | +1.5 -125 | U 8 -115 | +135 |
Red Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Roman Anthony has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+11.70 Units / 117% ROI)
- Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Roman Anthony has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+13.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 84 away games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 87 of their last 155 games (+9.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 73 away games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (BOS) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eugenio Suarez (CIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Roman Anthony (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Caleb Durbin (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willson Contreras (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Roman Anthony (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Sal Stewart (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Sal Stewart (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eugenio Suarez (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Reds vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Garrett Crochet (BOS) | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -120 |
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Red Sox are just 6-203 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Red Sox are 198-14 (.930) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Reds were just 29-31 (.483) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face the Red Sox (10th runs allowed).
The Reds are just 12-27 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 20-38 (.345) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 45% against RHP in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters had an OBP of .331 (3,034 PA’s) at home in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
The Red Sox batted .258 against LHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 45% in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters had a swing rate of just 46% in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters do not have an extra-base hit out of 8 total hits against RHP in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Reds hitters had a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers last season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 468.6
Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.72 (1448.1 IP) in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
The Red Sox pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 42% of their games last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Red Sox pitchers won 35% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
The Reds have allowed 9.00 runs per game (18/2) in the postseason — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.04.
Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 6% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Reds pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.8 MPH last season (3,917 balls in play) — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.4
More MLB Reading:
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