• The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: NESN | YES

The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on June 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Red Sox are 26-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 30-31 ATS.

Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 6-1, 3.10 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 2-3, 3.52 ERA

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+24.40 Units / 488% ROI)
• Carlos Narvaez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+9.95 Units / 142% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.30 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in his last 25 games (+25.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 94% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.75 Units / 84% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+5.35 Units / 6% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 61% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.05 Units / 5% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 50 games at home (+4.15 Units / 8% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 26-33 against the Run Line (-6.25 Units / -8.24% ROI).

• 26-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -22.56% ROI
• 28-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -9.31% ROI
• 31-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 30-31 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 6.18% ROI).

• 37-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -2.59% ROI
• 28-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -9.18% ROI
• 31-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI

Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Red Sox are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Red Sox are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Red Sox are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Red Sox are just 6-19 (.240) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Yankees are 21-2 (.913) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Yankees are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .756.

The Yankees are 37-25 (.597) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .685 (1,726 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .271 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .256 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .192 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters are slugging .467 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .656 in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .806 (742 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .432 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.85 runs per game (52/61) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (288.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.21 runs per game (106/33) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 1.77 runs per game (110/62) in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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