Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 7

New York Yankees' Jazz Chisholm Jr. reacts after connecting for a solo home run against the Toronto Blue Jays during the fifth inning of Game 3 of baseball's American League Division Series, Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2025, in New York.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
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  • The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Red Sox
  • Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: NESN | YES

The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on June 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Red Sox are 27-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 30-32 ATS.

Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 5-3, 3.24 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 7-3, 1.89 ERA

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox+1.5 -165O 8 -105+135
Yankees -1.5 +135U 8 -115-160

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+23.40 Units / 390% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+9.95 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Cam Schlittler has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 45 games (+3.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+2.95 Units / 3% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 27-33 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -6.77% ROI).

  • 27-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.8 Units / -20.69% ROI
  • 28-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -9.16% ROI
  • 31-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 30-32 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 4.58% ROI).

  • 37-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -3.96% ROI
  • 28-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -9.04% ROI
  • 31-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI

Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ben Rice +280
Wilyer Abreu +340
Willson Contreras +340
Paul Goldschmidt +360
Cody Bellinger +425

Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Ben Rice 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Mickey Gasper 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Anthony Volpe 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Marcelo Mayer 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Red Sox are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Red Sox are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Red Sox are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Red Sox are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Yankees are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .758.

The Yankees are 21-3 (.875) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Yankees are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Red Sox are batting .272 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .189 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .318 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .906 (448 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .654 in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .464 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 15% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .695 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.84 runs per game (52/62) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (558.1 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (288.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.21 runs per game (106/33) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.