• The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-140) on September 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Red Sox are 87-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 83-78 ATS.

Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 18-5, 2.75 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 5-5, 2.84 ERA

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.30 Units / 45% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 40% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• George Lombard Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+32.50 Units / 361% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 55% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.90 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 away games (+1.65 Units / 3% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+18.15 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+15.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 76-83 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -3.6% ROI).

• 87-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -3.81% ROI
• 73-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.3 Units / -12.37% ROI
• 86-73 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 3.28% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 83-78 against the Run Line (+16.2 Units / 8.77% ROI).

• 94-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.55% ROI
• 77-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -6.43% ROI
• 80-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -2.56% ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Red Sox are 63-5 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 32-28 (.533) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (second fewest runs allowed).

The Red Sox are 46-35 (.568) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are just 8-43 (.157) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Yankees are 55-8 (.873) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 39-4 (.907) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 61-6 (.910) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are just 9-45 (.167) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .173 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of 57% on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox have won 76% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .696 (2,746 PA’s) with runners on base this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .770 (1,922 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging just .173 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .223 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.54 (1440.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 3.62 runs per game (293/81) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.46 (702.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (716.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (1441.1 IP) this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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