• The Reds are -120 favorites vs the Padres
• Reds vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Reds / Padres TV Channel: RDTV | PDTV

The Cincinnati Reds (-120) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+100) on June 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Reds are 31-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 34-29 ATS.

Reds vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 7-1, 2.05 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito 2-1, 4.96 ERA

Reds vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Padres and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.50 Units / 388% ROI)
• Blake Dunn has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
• Miguel Andujar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 63% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.15 Units / 57% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.05 Units / 46% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+14.05 Units / 53% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games at home (+1.10 Units / 2% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 35-29 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -2.63% ROI).

• 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -5.77% ROI
• 40-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.45 Units / 18.69% ROI
• 24-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.7 Units / -27.73% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 34-29 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 2.2% ROI).

• 34-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.19% ROI
• 27-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -17.62% ROI
• 36-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 8.97% ROI

Padres vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Reds are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Reds are just 3-10 (.231) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Padres (eighth in runs allowed).

The Reds are 26-5 (.839) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Reds are just 12-79 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Padres are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Padres are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Padres are 26-1 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .892.

The Padres are 20-1 (.952) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .214 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .173 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .277 (578 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .203 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .215 this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,354 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 124 times this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 433.8 feet — — shortest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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