Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 19

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  • The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Tigers / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | DSN

The Detroit Tigers (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on April 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:35 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Tigers are 11-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 6-14 ATS.

Tigers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 1-1, 3.70 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 2-2, 7.45 ERA

Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -200O 7 -110+120
Red Sox -1.5 +165U 7 -110-145

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.30 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.30 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+3.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 10-10 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 4.61% ROI).

  • 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -5.42% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -18.24% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 9.83% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 6-14 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -34.17% ROI).

  • 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -29.35% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -5% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -4.75% ROI

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Tigers were just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Tigers were 47-9 (.839) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Tigers are 7-3 (.700) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Tigers were 78-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Red Sox are 78-4 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .908.

The Red Sox are just 1-8 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

The Red Sox are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Red Sox are 6-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .871.

Tigers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters are slugging .482 at home this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting .280 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,740 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

The Red Sox batted .254 in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .344 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters had an OPS of .754 (1,943 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers had a first-pitch strike rate of 65% in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 3.24 (466.1 IP) against division opponents in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.84 (705.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.