Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 12

Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
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  • The Twins are +100 favorites vs the Blue Jays
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The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-120) on April 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Twins are 8-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 4-10 ATS.

Twins vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 2-0, 1.08 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-1, 3.38 ERA

Twins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +165O 8 -115+100
Blue Jays +1.5 -200U 8 -105-120

Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+10.30 Units / 114% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 games (+6.25 Units / 156% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Max Scherzer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 9-6 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 4.61% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 15.06% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -4.55% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 4-10 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -43.3% ROI).

  • 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -31.06% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -4.28% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -5.45% ROI

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 25-32 (.439) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Blue Jays (27th runs allowed).

The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-21 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Blue Jays are 1-6 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .026.

The Blue Jays are 75-5 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Twins are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .126 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters had an OBP of just .295 (704 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers this month (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers won 45% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.