- The Orioles are -130 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Twins / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | TWTV
The Minnesota Twins (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-130) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD, MD.
This season, the Twins are 21-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 14-25 ATS.
Twins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 2-2, 4.14 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 1-3, 5.61 ERA
Twins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +160 | U 9 -115 | -130 |
Twins vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+13.05 Units / 130% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.20 Units / 255% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+34.60 Units / 384% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+11.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.53 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.14 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.83 Units / 16% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 23-18 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 12.96% ROI).
- 21-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -5.05% ROI
- 14-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -27.48% ROI
- 24-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.65 Units / 19.27% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 14-25 against the Run Line (-13.46 Units / -26.73% ROI).
- 15-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -29.49% ROI
- 17-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.58 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 19-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.33 Units / 0.76% ROI
Orioles vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Orioles vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Heston Kjerstad (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Simeon Woods Richardson has a strike rate of just 57% (91/159) this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 3rd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .415 (22 GB hits out of 53 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 5 double plays in 143 opportunities (4%) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (3/16) against Simeon Woods Richardson’s changeup this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cade Povich has allowed an OPS of .982 (107 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .721 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 6% (1/17) against Cade Povich on inside fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Cade Povich had a strikeout rate of just 13% (10/76) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (19-for-57) against Cade Povich when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .241 — fifth Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins are just 1-85 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Twins are 88-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .082.
The Twins are 13-7 (.650) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles are 151-23 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Orioles are just 4-22 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Orioles are 75-27 (.735) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Orioles were 42-29 (.592) after a loss in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .179 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Orioles hitters are slugging .796 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .253 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .257 (420 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Batters facing the Orioles pitchers have struck out in the zone 47% of the time this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
More MLB Reading:
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