• The Yankees are +105 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: YES | RSN | TVA

The New York Yankees (+105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-125) on August 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Yankees are 68-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 63-61 ATS.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 5-7, 3.70 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 7-5, 2.41 ERA

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ben Rice has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+14.50 Units / 73% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+14.20 Units / 203% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 62% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 55% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+20.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+9.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 57-65 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -2.06% ROI).

• 68-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -5.9% ROI
• 51-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.35 Units / -17.92% ROI
• 68-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.05 Units / 8.94% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 63-61 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -2.31% ROI).

• 61-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -6.77% ROI
• 61-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -4.36% ROI
• 61-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -4.19% ROI

Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Yankees were just 4-55 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are 8-3 (.727) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are 8-3 (.727) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are 8-3 (.727) since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

The Yankees are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .224 (2,509 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .147 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .334 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .304 (4,647 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .218 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .626 (1,338 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (570.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.42 runs per game (222/65) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,065 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,065 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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