The Cleveland Cavaliers start the 2026-27 NBA season with an over/under of 47.5 in the NBA win totals market at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Cavaliers Over/Under Wins 2026-27
Cavaliers Win Total Prediction
- Over 47.5 wins (-115) — Pick made on Aug. 20
I prefer the over on the Cavaliers’ win total at 47.5, as a fully healthy version of this team could be a formidable threat in the Eastern Conference.
The Cavaliers won 52 games last year, but they didn’t hit their stride until they traded for James Harden in early February. Cleveland went 21-9 across its past 30 games, ranking fourth in offensive rating over that span. The Cavs eventually reached the conference finals.
Cleveland aims to build off the finish, which is why the team made a savvy move by nabbing restricted free agent Peyton Watson from the Denver Nuggets. Watson, a 3-and-D wing entering his age-24 season, should provide some balance to Cleveland’s starting lineup.
Harden, who signed an extension to stay in Cleveland, helps take some on-ball responsibility off Donovan Mitchell. The frontcourt pairing of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley has a track record of success.
The Cavs no longer have much depth, but their starting lineup can win many regular-season games when healthy.
Cleveland has averaged 53.7 wins per year since acquiring Mitchell, clearing this mark in all four seasons. He also won at least 48 games in four of his five seasons with the Utah Jazz to start his career.
The East is more competitive this year, which might limit the Cavs’ chances of returning to the conference finals. However, they remain a reliable regular-season squad.
Cavaliers Win Total History
(Data from Sports Odds History)
| Year | Win Total | Actual Wins | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 56.5 | 52 | Under |
| 2024-25 | 48.5 | 64 | Over |
| 2023-24 | 50.5 | 48 | Under |
| 2022-23 | 46.5 | 51 | Over |
| 2021-22 | 26.5 | 44 | Over |
| 2020-21 | 22.5 | 22 | Under |
| 2019-20 | 24.5 | 19 | Void |
| 2018-19 | 30.5 | 19 | Under |
| 2017-18 | 53.5 | 50 | Under |
| 2016-17 | 56.5 | 51 | Under |
| 2015-16 | 56.5 | 57 | Over |
| 2014-15 | 58.5 | 53 | Under |
| 2013-14 | 40.5 | 33 | Under |
| 2012-13 | 31.5 | 24 | Under |
| 2011-12 | 17.5 | 21 | Over |
| 2010-11 | 30.5 | 19 | Under |
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