- Get betting expert betting predictions and analysis for Warriors vs. Rockets.
- The Rockets are 2.5-point favorites for Sunday’s Game 7.
Six years after their last Game 7 matchup, the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors will clash in another do-or-die battle at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday at the Toyota Center on TNT.
While few players remain from that historic Western Conference finals battle, it’s difficult for Houston fans to forget what it was like watching their team miss 27 consecutive 3-pointers in that 101-92 loss.
Will they finally avenge that performance against Stephen Curry and Co., completing a 3-1 series comeback in this Round 1 matchup?
Here’s a look at the latest NBA betting lines for the Warriors vs. Rockets and my prediction ahead of Sunday’s Game 7:
Warriors vs. Rockets Odds: Game 7
- Warriors spread: +2.5
- Rockets spread: -2.5
- Total: 205.5
Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction: Game 7 Best Bet
Based on the updated NBA betting market, I’d recommend backing the Warriors’ moneyline (+120) as my best bet for Game 7 of this Round 1 series.
Full disclosure: I backed Houston to win this series pre-flop, so I have no desire to play a side in this game. But for this preview, I think Golden State is the right side.
A team hasn’t erased a 3-1 series deficit in the NBA playoffs since the Denver Nuggets did it twice during the bubble in 2020. They accomplished the feat against the Los Angeles Clippers and Utah Jazz.
Not counting the bubble (since there was no travel), a 3-1 series deficit hasn’t been overcome since the Cleveland Cavaliers did it against the Warriors in the 2016 NBA Finals.
It’s difficult to win three consecutive playoff games while facing elimination, particularly against an experienced team like the Warriors.
Golden State won’t be scared of the moment on Sunday. The Warriors have won two straight road Game 7s, including against the Rockets in 2018 and the Sacramento Kings in 2023.
This matchup feels more comparable to two years ago. Like the 2023 Kings, this year’s Rockets are young, and this moment could be too big for them.
Game 7 prediction: Warriors ML (+120)
Warriors vs. Rockets Series Schedule
| Game | Date | Time (ET) | TV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game 1 | Sunday, April 20 | 9:30 p.m. | TNT |
| Game 2 | Wednesday, April 23 | 9:30 p.m. | TNT |
| Game 3 | Saturday, April 26 | 8:30 p.m. | ABC |
| Game 4 | Monday, April 28 | 10 p.m. | TNT |
| Game 5 | Wednesday, April 30 | 7:30 p.m. ET | TNT |
| Game 6 | Friday, May 2 | 9 p.m. ET | ESPN |
| Game 7 | Sunday, May 4 | 8:30 p.m. ET | TNT |
Warriors vs. Rockets Series History
| Date | Home | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2 | GS | HOU 115, GS 107 | HOU +5.5 | Over 208.5 |
| April 30 | HOU | HOU 131, GS 116 | HOU -4 | Over 203 |
| April 28 | GS | GS 109, HOU 106 | HOU +3.5 | Over 203.5 |
| April 26 | GS | GS 104, HOU 93 | GS -1.5 | Under 205 |
| April 23 | HOU | HOU 109, GS 94 | HOU -4 | Under 204.5 |
| April 20 | HOU | GS 95, HOU 85 | GS +2 | Under 213 |
| April 6 | GS | HOU 106, GS 96 | HOU +5.5 | Under 225.5 |
| Feb. 13 | HOU | GS 105, HOU 98 | GS -1.5 | Under 226.5 |
| Dec. 11 | HOU | HOU 91, GS 90 | GS +3 | Under 221 |
| Dec. 5 | GS | GS 99, HOU 93 | GS +4 | Under 219 |
| Nov. 2 | HOU | GS 127, HOU 121 (OT) | GS +5 | Over 216 |
Warriors Betting Insights & Trends
Rockets Betting Insights & Trends
When Was the Last Time the Warriors Won a Playoff Series?
The Warriors last won a playoff series in 2023, defeating the Sacramento Kings in seven games in the first round. The Warriors won a championship in 2022.
When Was the Last Time the Rockets Won a Playoff Series?
The Rockets haven’t won a playoff series since 2020, when they earned a 4-3 victory over Oklahoma City in the first round. They haven’t made the postseason since.
Related Articles
NBA Odds at the Online Sportsbook
It’s never been easier and more fun to bet on NBA odds at the online sportsbook.
From daily spreads and moneylines to futures and parlays, there are a variety of opportunities for everyone regardless of fandom, sports betting experience, and NBA knowledge.
Sign in to your account today — or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome offer — to start betting. And always check your new account for updated sportsbook promos and bonuses.
