Colts vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

• The Jaguars are -7.5 point favorites vs the Colts
• Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
• Watch this game on CBS

The Indianapolis Colts (2-5-0) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2-0) on Nov. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Jacksonville, FL.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-145).

The Colts vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.

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Colts vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Colts vs. Jaguars Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this game with 76.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Colts vs Jaguars Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today

• Daniel Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• Tyler Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• Seth McGowan has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
• Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jonathan Taylor has hit the Carries Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.50 Units / 69% ROI)
• Parker Washington has hit the Longest Reception Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• Parker Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• Parker Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Colts Best Bets:

• The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Jaguars Best Bets:

• The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts are 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

• Colts are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -48.28% ROI
• Colts are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
• ColtsColtsColts are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 3-3 (-0.25 Units / -3.82% ROI).

• Jaguars are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 13.79% ROI
• Jaguars are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
• Jaguars are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

Colts are 3-10 (.231) when making less than 7 explosive plays in a game (7th-worst in NFL) and .636 when making less than 7 explosive plays in a game since the 2025 season (T-10th-best in NFL).

The Colts are winless (0-3) on the road this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .490.

The Colts are 2-9 (.182) on the road since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .468.

The Colts are 1-8 (.111) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .327.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Jaguars are 6-4 (.600) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2025 season — T-10th-best in NFL. The Colts have allowed 238.6 passing yards per game since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars are undefeated (6-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .661.

The Jaguars are 6-4 (.600) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2025 season They play the Colts in Week 8 (Ranks 11th in passing offense).

The Jaguars are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .554.

Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars have scored on 47.5% of their drives this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 46.1% of opponent drives this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

Jaguars RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Colts have allowed 2.1 yards after contact per carry this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars have been successful on 44.8% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Colts have pressured opposing QBs on just 19.7% of passing plays this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Colts have been successful on just 39.1% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have pressured opposing QBs on 39.3% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Colts have averaged just 0.17 epa per play against open coverage since Week 4 — 4th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed just 0.10 epa per play with open coverage since Week 4 — 4th-best in NFL.

Colts WRs have averaged just 3.4 yards after the catch since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed just 3.6 yards after catch per reception to WRs since the 2025 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats

The Colts faced a blitz 32% of the time in Week 7 — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Colts have run successful plays on 14% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Colts allowed a QB hit on 36% of pass attempts in Week 7 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Colts have averaged just 1.6 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats

The Jaguars have run successful plays on 24% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Jaguars have averaged 0.66 epa per play when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.27.

The Jaguars have averaged 0.78 epa per play against open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.42.

The Jaguars have scored on 61% of their drives (8/13) in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats

The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 28% of pass attempts first read passes since Week 4 — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 87% of rush attempts first read passes since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 75% of rush attempts open coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 24% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats

The Jaguars defense has not allowed a successful play on any rush attempt first read passes since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Jaguars defense has forced 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Jaguars defense has allowed a late down conversion rate of 10% in short yardage situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Jaguars defense has allowed first downs on 33% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 68%.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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