Cowboys vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

• The Cowboys are -6 point favorites vs the Eagles
• Total (Over/Under): 45 points
• Watch this game on ESPN | ABC | ESPD | DIS+

The Dallas Cowboys (2-4-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (2-4-0) on Oct. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (+105).

The Cowboys vs. Eagles Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Cowboys vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 66.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cowboys vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

• Jake Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• Dak Prescott has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jake Ferguson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 62% ROI)
• KaVontae Turpin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
• Jake Ferguson has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Jalen Hurts has hit the Carries Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 67% ROI)
• Saquon Barkley has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jake Elliott has hit the Field Goals Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jalen Hurts has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
• Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Cowboys

Cowboys Best Bets:

• The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.00 Units / 22% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+4.00 Units / 26% ROI)

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.48% ROI).

• Cowboys are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -54.24% ROI
• Cowboys are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
• CowboysCowboysCowboys are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 1-5 (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

• Eagles are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -26.64% ROI
• Eagles are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
• Eagles are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Cowboys are winless (0-3) when passing for less than 200 yards since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .442.

The Cowboys are undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 22 points since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .778.

The Cowboys are 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .410.

The Cowboys are 9-13-1 (.391) since the 2025 season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Eagles are 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2025 season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed an average of 133.1 rushing yards per game since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles were winless (0-4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Eagles are 10-6 (.625) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2025 season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .498.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .715.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have a third down conversion rate of 26.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 29.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2025 season — worst in NFL.

The Eagles have been successful on just 23.7% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have pressured opposing QBs on 30.1% of passing plays since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Eagles have been successful on just 40.6% of pass attempts with motion since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have pressured opposing QBs on 30.5% of pass attempts against motion since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Cowboys were successful on 53.3% of rush attempts last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of 58.1% on rush attempts last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have 7 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — T-2nd-most in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 8 rushing TDs this season — T-4th-most in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 6.0 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — T-3rd-best in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys threw the ball 77% of the time (54 Pass Attempts/70 plays) in Week 6 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Cowboys have run the ball on 37% of plays (30 carries/82 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2025 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Cowboys have scored on 61% of their drives (16/26) in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Cowboys have scored on 64% of their drives (9/14) in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles have run successful plays on 16% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 21% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Eagles have gone three and out 12 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 16% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 49% since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed 4 TDs on first drive of the game this season — T-most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense has allowed successful plays on 65% of plays first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 55% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 with a stacked front (6 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.9.

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 18% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Eagles defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 58% (440 completions/761 attempts) since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

The Eagles defense has averaged a sack every 28.1 pass attempts (225 Pass Attempts/8 Sacks) this season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 15.6.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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