Giants vs Texans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

• The Texans are -8 point favorites vs the Giants
• Total (Over/Under): 42 points
• Watch this game on FOX

The New York Giants (3-2-1) visit Reliant Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (2-4-0) on Oct. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Houston, TX.

The Texans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8 (-130).

The Giants vs. Texans Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Texans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Giants vs. Texans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Texans will win this game with 72.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Texans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

• Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 56% ROI)
• J.J. McCarthy has hit the Completions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
• Dominic Zvada has hit the Field Goals Over in his last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 91% ROI)
• J.J. McCarthy has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Ka’imi Fairbairn has hit the Field Goals Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Woody Marks has hit the Carries Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI)

Giants Best Bets:

• The New York Giants have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• The New York Giants have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)

Texans Best Bets:

• The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.07 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.90 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Texans have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• Giants are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 23.85% ROI
• Giants are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
• GiantsGiantsGiants are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans are 2-4 (-2.45 Units / -36.84% ROI).

• Texans are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -33.51% ROI
• Texans are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Texans are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

The Giants are 1-10 (.091) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Texans have intercepted 22 passes since the 2025 season — 5th-most in NFL.

The Giants are winless (0-11-1) when intercepting no passes since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .340.

The Giants are winless (0-13-1) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .163.

The Giants are winless (0-6) when converting less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .337.

Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Texans are 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2025 season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 144.0 rushing yards per game since the 2025 season — worst in NFL.

The Texans are 10-1 (.909) after a win since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .565.

The Texans are 8-4 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2025 season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .498.

The Texans are 12-4 (.750) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2025 season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .652.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Houston Texans

The Texans allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 5.9% of pass attempts last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Giants had pressured opposing QBs on just 3.3% of passing plays last week — worst in NFL.

The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 54.2% in the fourth quarter this season — best in NFL. The Giants defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 47.8% in the 4th quarter this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Texans scored 4 TDs last week — T-most in NFL. The Giants allowed 4 TDs last week — T-most in NFL.

The Giants are averaging just 3.4 yards per carry this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed just 3.5 yards per carry this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Giants have been successful on just 36.5% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed a success rate of just 41.5% on pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL.

Giants RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on just 7.7% of 534 carries since the 2025 season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed 10+ yards on just 6.3% of carries to RBs since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 6 — most in NFL.

The Giants have turned the ball over on downs 11 times in the red zone since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Giants have run successful plays on 26% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Giants have gone for two on 31% of PATs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats

The Texans have run successful plays on 38% of rush attempts since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans have run successful plays on 61% of plays on first read passes this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Texans have started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — T-most in NFL.

The Texans have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 26 times since the 2025 season — T-most in NFL.

The Giants defense has allowed 1 first down receptions on passes when they have pressured the QB this season — fewest in NFL.

The Giants defense has allowed scores on 58% of opponent drives (7/12) in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 56% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats

Only 40% of the plays run against the Texans have been in their own territory since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Texans defense have allowed -2.41 epa per play with a light rush since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.11.

The Texans defense has allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts against play action passes since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Texans defense allowed 4 TD passes in Week 6 — most in NFL.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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