- The Bengals are -2.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 50 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (2-1-0) on Oct. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Cincinnati, OH.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-112).
The Jaguars vs. Bengals Over/Under is 50 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jaguars | +2.5 -105 | 50 +105 | +120 |
| Bengals | -2.5 -112 | 50 -140 | -145 |
Jaguars vs. Bengals Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this game with 51.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jaguars vs Bengals Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
- Parker Washington has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Parker Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Parker Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brenton Strange has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tee Higgins has hit the Longest Reception Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tanner Hudson has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Mike Gesicki has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.20 Units / 20% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Jaguars
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown | +500 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | +600 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | +800 |
| Parker Washington | +825 |
| Tee Higgins | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown | -155 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | -105 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | +100 |
| Parker Washington | +130 |
| Tee Higgins | +135 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bengals vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 79.5 -115 | 79.5 -115 |
| Parker Washington | 75.5 -115 | 75.5 -115 |
| Tee Higgins | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -115 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 39.5 -115 | 39.5 -115 |
| Brenton Strange | 35.5 -115 | 35.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bengals vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Brown | 64.5 -115 | 64.5 -115 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -115 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 13.5 -120 | 13.5 -110 |
| Samaje Perine | 12.5 -115 | 12.5 -115 |
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.29 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 2-1 (+0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI).
- Jaguars are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 14.6% ROI
- Jaguars are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- JaguarsJaguarsJaguars are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 28.13% ROI).
- Bengals are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 11.83% ROI
- Bengals are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Bengals are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Jaguars are 5-3 (.625) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2025 season — T-10th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 237.8 passing yards per game since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars are 8-1 (.889) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2025 season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed an average of 140.2 rushing yards per game since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars are 11-1 (.917) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2025 season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .612.
The Jaguars are 9-1 (.900) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .544.
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
Bengals are 4-12 (.250) when allowing 100 yards rushing or more (T-10th-worst in NFL) and 1.000 when allowing less than 100 yards rushing since the 2025 season (T-best in NFL).
Bengals are 4-1 (.800) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down (T-5th-best in NFL) and just .267 when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down since the 2025 season (T-9th-worst in NFL).
The Bengals are 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — 9th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have intercepted 26 passes since the 2025 season — T-most in NFL.
The Bengals are 4-11 (.267) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2025 season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have averaged just 0.28 epa per play against open coverage since the 2025 season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed just 0.29 epa per play with open coverage since the 2025 season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Bengals are 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — 9th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have intercepted 26 passes since the 2025 season — T-most in NFL.
The Bengals have rushed for 1,885 yards since the 2025 season — 4th-fewest in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 1,744 yards rushing since the 2025 season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have gone three and out on 10.7% of their drives this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bengals have forced three and outs on 12.1% of opponent drives this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on 54.5% of plays they have run against a base rush this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed a success rate of 51.3% with a base rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars are 5-3 (.625) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2025 season — T-10th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 237.8 passing yards per game since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have scored on 83% of their drives (5/6) in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
The Jaguars have run the ball on 47% of plays (16 carries/34 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 24% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Jaguars have thrown the ball 8% of the time (1 Pass Attempts/12 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals have thrown the ball 60% of the time (743 Pass Attempts/1,235 plays) since the 2025 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Bengals have gone three and out on 27% of their drives in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Bengals have been flagged 13 times for 10+ yards on offense since the 2025 season — fewest in NFL.
The Bengals have averaged -0.13 epa per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense have allowed -1.63 epa per play with tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.43.
The Jaguars defense has allowed a passer rating of just 30.3 in the red zone (11 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 99.3.
The Jaguars defense have allowed -0.84 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.49.
The Jaguars defense has allowed 2.7 points per Red Zone drive this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense has allowed 6.9 yards after the catch (2,910 RAC / 420 receptions) since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.
Offenses facing the Bengals targeted WRs 46% of the time (300 Pass Attempts/652 plays) since the 2025 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Bengals defense have missed 197 tackles since the 2025 season — most in NFL.
The Bengals defense has allowed 7.5 yards per dropback (1,436 yards/191 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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