NFL Predictions 2026: One Futures Bet for All 32 Teams

Below, bettors can find one NFL futures prediction for all 32 teams based on NFL odds.

Countless futures options exist for bettors at the BetMGM online sportsbook. Here, I’ve identified my favorite ways to either support or fade teams.

Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.

NFL Picks 2026: One Futures Prediction for Every Team

Arizona Cardinals: Over 3.5 Wins (-145)

Only the amount of juice on this win total is slightly concerning. Outside that factor, more reasons exist than not to remain bullish on Arizona, assuming they’re trying to win games.

Arizona suffered 179.8 adjusted games lost last year, 49.5 more than the second-most injured team. Despite the injuries, Arizona finished 2.4 wins under expected.

Driving that bad luck? An 0-5 record in field-goal games and a 2-8 record in one-possession games. Presumably, Mike LaFleur can lead this team to more than zero division wins.

If you get average quarterback play, the rest of the roster is talented enough for this team to win four games.

Atlanta Falcons: Under 6.5 Wins (+115)

Atlanta’s win total price has slowly risen as the offseason has progressed. Under 7.5 wins opened at -120 and currently sits at -140.

Last year, Atlanta only won games when they didn’t matter. It led to a misleading 8-9 record after the team started 4-9. Raheem Morris lost his job, and Kevin Stefanski took over.

Outside the division, the schedule is very difficult. Atlanta faces the NFC North and AFC North plus the 49ers, Commanders and Chiefs.

Only Carolina faces a harder schedule within the NFC South. Defensively, I worry about a team projected to face the league’s 11th-hardest schedule based on the last two years of DVOA.

Baltimore Ravens: Second Place in AFC North (+220)

I’m more bullish on the Ravens taking a step forward defensively under new head coach Jesse Minter. For reasons I’ll get to later, I predict they will fail to win the division.

Only two teams lost more adjusted games to injury on defense than Baltimore last year.

Based on the last two years of offensive DVOA, Baltimore projects to face the league’s second-easiest set of offenses. Generally, they play the eighth-easiest schedule by win totals.

It should lead to some positive regression for a team that finished 1.1 wins under expected last year.

Buffalo Bills: Over 11.5 Wins (+150)

Buffalo saw a clear trend in its 2025 games – avoid turning the ball over, win the game.

When the Bills turned it over one or fewer times on offense, they lost only one game. That loss? A 13-12 home defeat to Philadelphia, where Buffalo missed a game-winning two-point play.

Buffalo plays a brutal schedule outside the division. However, virtually all the difficult games come at home.

Next year, they face nine games outside the division against teams with win totals set at 9.5 or higher. Six of those games come at home.

It leads me to consider an alternate win total at +150 rather than laying -145 on over 10.5 wins.

Carolina Panthers: Under 6.5 Wins (+140)

Everything went right for Carolina last year….and they still won only eight games. Dave Canales’ team is a severe regression candidate after going 6-2 in field-goal games.

Their reward for winning the division: the league’s third-hardest strength of schedule by opponent win totals. Only one team (Houston) plays a harder trio of unique opponents.

Offensively, only five teams generated fewer red zone opportunities than Carolina. Look for them to quietly finish as one of the worst teams in the NFL.

Chicago Bears: Under 9.5 Wins (-125)

Chicago relied on turnovers and a reversal of one-score game luck to win the NFC North. A +22 turnover differential led the NFL, slightly less than Buffalo’s +24 two years ago.

Despite that fact, Chicago ranks second in ticket percentage to win the Super Bowl. They offer a similar profile to the 2024 Commanders, especially with the eighth-fewest offensive injuries.

Defensively, Chicago projects to face the league’s seventh-hardest schedule by 2024 & 2025 offensive DVOA ratings. Only six teams face a harder schedule by win totals.

Expect some regression from a team that won seven of 11 by a possession or less.

Cincinnati Bengals: AFC North Division Winner (+185)

Dexter Lawrence, Boye Mafe and Bryan Cook arrive to solidify the defense. Unlike last year, Cincinnati projects to face a very easy set of offenses.

By 2025 offensive DVOA ratings, the Bengals project to face the league’s easiest set of offenses. Plus, I’d argue the defense didn’t play as poorly as the point total indicated.

Cincinnati allowed 63 points on defensive or special teams scores last year. Arizona ranked second in that category with 35 points allowed.

Next year, they get Baltimore off a bye before the Ravens travel for a short-week road game late in the season. That advantage should lead to a division victory.

Cleveland Browns: Under 5.5 Wins (+100)

Pre-Myles Garrett trade, Cleveland offered one of the more difficult assessments. But after trading Garrett and losing DC Jim Schwarz, I’m less afraid of the Browns.

Cleveland benefits from a fairly easy schedule. Outside the division, they get the AFC South, NFC South and Raiders/Jets/Giants.

Last year, Cleveland snuck out two straight wins to finish 5-12. They beat Pittsburgh without D.K. Metcalf and needed defensive scores to beat the Bengals.

Despite the easy schedule, this team desperately needs a quarterback next year. Winning games would prove a detriment to this team, so I prefer the under on their win total.

Dallas Cowboys: NFC East Division Winner (+210)

I’m conflicted about the NFC East. Philadelphia’s defense remains the best unit in the quartet, and the Eagles get the easiest set of unique opponents (Pittsburgh, Carolina, Chicago).

Win totals suggest Dallas faces a difficult trio. However, the team construction should offer head coach Brian Schottenheimer a chance to succeed.

Tampa Bay and Green Bay don’t scare me as much as their win totals would indicate. Plus, Dallas gets a unique game against Baltimore in Brazil.

Barring a Dak Prescott injury, the offense should sustain its levels from 2025. Defensively, Dallas plays three games against top-six DVOA offenses from 2025.

However, one of those games comes after a bye week (Rams), and the other two come at home. It leads me to entertain the Cowboys at a good price.

Denver Broncos: Under 9.5 Wins (+105)

My most confident opinion of 2026 is that Denver won’t win five divisional games again.

Sean Payton’s team jumped four wins in the division year over year. Even if you settle in the middle, it takes them down to 12 wins from 14 last year.

From there, you’re asking Denver to drop three games to finish under the win total. From a scheduling standpoint, the AFC West’s unique games offer a big test.

Denver plays the NFC West and AFC East, plus Jacksonville/Pittsburgh/Carolina. They also get the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks in the first six weeks of the season.

Strong defensive play led Denver to 14 wins, but they lost the third-fewest adjusted games to injury. Pair that trend with an 11-2 record in one-possession games, and regression should arrive.

Detroit Lions: NFC North Division Winner (+175)

Detroit plays the league’s easiest schedule by opponent win totals. In terms of unique games, here’s how the NFC North breaks down by opponent win totals:

• Lions: 18.5
• Vikings: 26.5
• Packers: 28.5
• Bears: 30.5

Offensively, I remain bullish on the skill players. Despite losing Ben Johnson last year, the Lions still finished as a top-10 DVOA offense.

Defensively, the team should take a step forward. Only Arizona lost more adjusted games to injury on defense last year, and Detroit played the ninth-hardest set of offenses.

Next year, the Lions project to play the league’s seventh-easiest set of offenses. Paired with improved health, Detroit offers the clearest worst-to-first path in the NFL.

Green Bay Packers: Over 9.5 Wins (-125)

Matt LaFleur’s Packers found spectacular ways to lose games down the stretch. After starting 9-3-1, Green Bay lost four straight to finish under its season win total.

One of those games? A 22-16 loss to Chicago, where chaos ensued in the final two minutes. They also lost by eight at Denver and gave away Week 18 to Minnesota.

Two concerns exist with Green Bay: offensive line and Micah Parsons’ injury. Without Parsons, Green Bay has no way to pressure the quarterback.

But I still trust an offense that has ranked sixth or better in DVOA each of the last three years. Outside the division, games against the NFC South and AFC East hardly inspire fear.

Houston Texans: Under 9.5 Wins (+105)

Any team that relies on defense to win a bunch of games is always a fade candidate the following year.

Even if you think Houston wins back the division, the schedule outside it is difficult on paper.

The entire AFC South plays the AFC North and NFC East. Houston plays unique games against the Chargers, Bills and Packers. A couple statistics simultaneously point to regression.

Seven of Houston’s 12 wins last year came by a possession or less. Twenty-nine takeaways on defense ranked third in the NFL, while a +23.9% field-goal percentage delta led the league.

For a team that saw minimal defensive injuries with a bad offensive line, I predict they finish under 9.5 wins.

Indianapolis Colts: Over 7.5 Wins (-125)

Almost zero chance exists that the offense looks as good as it did in 2025. But I’m cautiously optimistic the defense takes a step forward against an easy schedule.

Indianapolis finished 8-9 last year after starting 7-1. Quarterback is a huge unknown, but I still like the offensive line and Jonathan Taylor.

Defensively, the Colts project to face the league’s second-easiest schedule by 2025 DVOA percentages. They also play an easier-than-average schedule by opponent win totals.

Six of their final eight losses came by a possession or less, with three coming in the division.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Under 8.5 Wins (+115)

So much went right in Liam Coen’s first year. Now bettors should expect a ton of regression from the AFC South winners.

Jacksonville forced 31 takeaways on defense last year to help inform a sixth-place DVOA rating.

Thirty drives starting from opponent territory are unsustainable, as is 58% of defensive snaps against quarterbacks 30th or worse by EPA per play.

It has led to the win total moving from 9.5 to 8.5. Plus, the Jaguars finished 2.2 wins over expectation last year thanks to a 6-3 record in one-possession games.

With only six teams losing more adjusted games to injury than Jacksonville, the Jaguars profile as a significant regression candidate.

Kansas City Chiefs: AFC West Division Winner (+180)

Denver begins the year as a massive regression candidate, and the schedule makers handed the Chargers a brutal breakdown. It paves the way for Kansas City to win back the West.

A year after immense luck in close games, Kansas City regressed to a 1-9 record in one-possession games. They also went from a 5-1 division record to a 1-5 benchmark.

How the defense looks after key corner departures remains unknown. But I love the Kenneth Walker III signing to add increased offensive balance.

Lastly, opponents converted 97% of field-goal attempts against the Chiefs last year. Against an easier schedule, Kansas City should see positive regression from last year’s mark.

Las Vegas Raiders: Over 6.5 Wins (+125)

Pete Carroll to Klint Kubiak is maybe the largest delta between an outgoing and incoming head coach. Offensively, I could see the team taking a step forward.

The offensive line can’t look any worse than it did last year. Kolton Miller missed all but four games due to injury as the unit struggled to protect Geno Smith.

Their response: signing Tyler Linderbaum from the Ravens. Las Vegas supplemented it with numerous defensive signings to help a unit that already ranked 14th in DVOA.

Denver and the Chargers don’t scare me as much as their win totals indicate. The Raiders also get four games against the AFC East plus the Titans, Browns and Saints.

Los Angeles Chargers: Under 9.5 Wins (+115)

Schedule makers handed the Chargers a heavy disadvantage. The team gets four games against teams off a bye week and have the Ravens and Bills off mini byes.

Additionally, the defense should see some regression sans Jesse Minter. After playing nothing but easy games over the last two years, the schedule for the unit looks daunting.

LA projects to play the league’s 12th-hardest schedule by 2025 offensive DVOA ratings. By 2025 and 2024 ratings, it becomes the eighth-hardest schedule.

For a team that won 11 games last year and forced 23 takeaways, Los Angeles should see some regression.

Los Angeles Rams: Under 11.5 Wins (+115)

Hold onto your hats here. In essence, the question for the Rams is whether the defense improves at a quicker rate than the offense regresses.

So much went right for the Rams offense last year. I recommend reading about it in detail over in the Rams win total analysis.

Adding Myles Garrett, Trent McDuffie and Jaylen Watson is great. But the unit also projects to face the league’s hardest schedule based on the last two years of offensive DVOA data.

All of that is to say it’s a big number for a team that plays three games against teams with a win total under seven.

Miami Dolphins: Under 4.5 Wins (-130)

I’ll be shocked if the Dolphins get to four wins or more next year. The schedule is brutal, and the team will carry $176 million in dead cap space.

Skill players lack zero intimidation, especially if you believe Miami plays from behind a lot. Only Arizona projects to face a more difficult schedule by 2026 win totals.

The defense, which finished as a below-average unit, projects to face the eighth-hardest schedule by 2025 offensive DVOA percentages.

Even if Malik Willis is good, the ceiling feels like five wins if that.

Minnesota Vikings: Under 8.5 Wins (-110)

This is the team I’m most uncertain about heading into 2026. But like Atlanta, the Vikings posted a misleading 2025 record (9-8).

Kevin O’Connell led Minnesota to four straight wins after starting 4-8. Offensively, the team should improve.

But this remains a team that relied on defense and finished as the highest-variance unit.

Only Seattle projects to face a more difficult set of offenses next year by 2025 DVOA percentages.

That said, nine games at home for a team with an unquestioned home-field edge is scary. Unique games are difficult, but I remain skeptical of the NFC South & AFC East.

New England Patriots: Under 10.5 Wins (-145)

We all assume the Patriots will regress. The question becomes by how much?

Unlike a lot of other regression teams, the Patriots achieved 14 wins through a dominant offense. Barring injuries, that tends to stay constant annually.

Of course, it’s a Patriots offense that lost the sixth-fewest adjusted games to injury on offense. I also remain skeptical of the offensive line that allowed 47 sacks in the 2025 regular season.

That came on a team that played 578 snaps with a lead. I worry what happens if New England finds itself in more negative game states.

Those factors lead me to the under, but it’s a lot of juice to lay.

New Orleans Saints: NFC South Division Winner (+280)

I hold a lot of confidence in the Saints’ profile next year. Kellen Moore’s team finished well following the switch to Tyler Shough and possesses a sneaky-good defense.

New Orleans finished 13th in defensive DVOA. After playing the Rams, the Saints enjoyed an easier stretch of opposing offenses and saw an uptick in their progress.

Next year, the Saints project to face the NFL’s second-easiest schedule by opponent win totals. Defensively, only two teams project to face a harder set of offenses.

In the easiest division with the easiest schedule, I predict the Saints will finish atop the standings.

New York Giants: Under 7.5 Wins (-110)

New York traded Dexter Lawrence, its best defensive piece. Edge remains a strength, but I worry about the defense and the skill players.

Malik Nabers appears set to miss additional time after requiring another operation. Even if he returns, production following a torn ACL likely decreases.

Jaxson Dart offers some excitement, but I question the skill players around him. Additionally, New York is projected to face the ninth-hardest defensive schedule.

The team profiles as a positive regression candidate due to a number of close losses last year. However, new head coach John Harbaugh has always struggled to win close games.

Those factors lead me to favor the under on New York’s win total.

New York Jets: Over 5.5 Wins (-110)

Aaron Glenn doesn’t strike me as the type of guy who agrees to tank. An easy schedule in a below-average division could see the Jets clear a low number.

Only four teams project to face an easier schedule than the Jets. Plus, Geno Smith goes from playing behind one of the league’s worst offensive lines to a quietly good one.

Skill players remain a strength compared to other teams around this win total. Additionally, the Jets ran very unlucky last year, forcing only four defensive takeaways.

New York finished 1.4 wins under expected due to a 3-5 record in one-possession games. In division play, they went 0-6 with three losses behind Brady Cook.

Philadelphia Eagles: Saquon Barkley Over 1,100.5 Rushing Yards (+100)

There are reasons for both optimism and pessimism about Eagles from a futures standpoint. It leads me to consider a “buy-low” angle on Barkley after he regressed in 2025.

Barkley cleared 2,000 yards in his 2024 Offensive Player of the Year win. Last year, he still managed 1,140 yards in 16 games.

The offensive line remains one of the best in the NFL. Following A.J. Brown’s departure, I expect the Eagles continue to emphasize a strong rushing attack.

Additionally, Lane Johnson missed games last year that affected Barkley’s performance. Case in point, Barkley managed only 78 yards against Dallas and Chicago in Johnson’s absence.

Assuming Johnson returns to full health, Barkley likely sees an uptick in production next year.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 3rd Place in AFC North (+150)

Baltimore and Cincinnati clearly possess superior teams. After the Browns traded Myles Garrett, it leaves Pittsburgh as the third-best team in the division.

Due to common games against the AFC & NFC South, I foresee the Steelers improving from 11th in DVOA. Next year, they project to face the 21st-hardest defensive schedule.

Pittsburgh should see regression by losing a home game. Across the NFL, the Steelers possess one of the better home-field advantages.

Regression indicators still exist after Mike Tomlin’s departure. However, unless the team sees a barrage of injuries, it’s difficult to see a last-place finish.

San Francisco 49ers: Super Bowl Winner (+1700)

Can you, dear reader, personally guarantee San Francisco’s health next year? If you answered yes to that question, the 49ers profile as a Super Bowl contender.

San Francisco finished as one of the five most injured teams each of the last two years. Toward the end of last season, they were basically sending out you and me to play corner.

Raheem Morris arrives to replace Robert Saleh as DC. I like Morris more as a coordinator, especially after the team added Osa Odighizuwa via trade.

While I expect some offensive regression, I still trust Kyle Shanahan to coordinate a top-10 unit. Plus, the schedule outside the division lacks much intimidation.

Even with four games against the Seahawks and Rams, San Francisco still projects to face a top-10 easiest strength of schedule.

Seattle Seahawks: Under 10.5 Wins (+105)

Seattle built its Super Bowl win on elite defense and cumulative team health. The offense lost OC Klint Kubiak and Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker III.

It places increased emphasis on the defense to perform against a brutal schedule. Next year, the defense projects to face the hardest set of opposing offenses.

Plus, the offense qualifies as a significant regression candidate after ranking T-10th in red zone opportunities. Seattle also added 50 points via defensive or special teams touchdowns.

That ranked first in the NFL. The gap between Seattle and second-place New England is as big as the gap between New England and 11th-place Philadelphia.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Baker Mayfield Over 3,550 Passing Yards (+100)

Mayfield put himself on an MVP course as the Bucs started 2025 well. In the first nine games, he averaged 243.6 passing yards as the Bucs began 6-3.

It all came spiraling down in the second half. Mayfield’s average dropped to 187.6 yards with only two games over 250.

But the Bucs lost the third-most adjusted games to injury on offense. Their wide receiver room led the NFL in adjusted games lost.

Mayfield still managed to clear this line, despite those injuries. Even with Mike Evans leaving, I trust Mayfield as a pocket passer to distribute the ball well. He also plays behind a strong line.

Those factors lead me to predict he clears this line for a fourth straight season.

Tennessee Titans: AFC South Division Winner (+850)

Maybe my favorite stat from all of last season is the level of difficulty Cam Ward faced in his rookie year.

Ward played the hardest set of opposing defenses in the entire league. There’s more: Ward faced the hardest set of opposing defenses of any team across all of the last six years.

It leads me to believe Tennessee carries a flawed market perception. They also should enjoy a massive upgrade going from Brian Callahan to Robert Saleh.

The division is available as the Jags and Texans profile as negative regression candidates. If Indianapolis sees a massive offensive decline, Tennessee could take a leap.

At minimum, it’s my opinion the Titans win the division more frequently than their 10.5% implied probability indicates.

Washington Commanders: Over 7.5 Wins (-130)

Washington received a lot of attention last year after reaching the NFC Championship. They missed the playoffs after regressing in one-score games and banking a ton of injuries.

In 2024, Washington lost the fifth-fewest adjusted games to injury. Last year, only two teams lost more adjusted games to injury.

Washington finished 1.7 wins under expected due to a 2-5 record in one-possession games. Dan Quinn’s team also lost all three games decided by a field goal or less.

The schedule is very difficult on paper. By opponent win totals, Washington projects to play the league’s eighth-hardest schedule.

However, a lot of difficulty is contained within the home games. Washington’s home opponents average a 9.3 win total while the road opponents average an 8.1 win total.