NFL Public Betting Odds: Chiefs, Lions Early Futures Targets

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Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce during warmups before an NFL football game against the Los Angeles Chargers, Sunday, Oct. 22, 2023 in Kansas City, Mo.
(Reed Hoffmann/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Feb 29, 2024, 10:47 AM
  • The Chiefs have received a plurality of tickets and handle.
  • These two wild card playoff teams have received ample support in the outright market.
  • Which teams are sharps betting in the Super Bowl futures market?

With the NFL offseason in full swing, I’m here to deliver an NFL public betting report for the Super Bowl futures market. 

Normally, public support is defined as when a side receives more than 51% of all tickets. In terms of index futures market, it’s defined as plurality support.

Bettors can identify sharp support when a team receives more money compared to their ticket count. 

With that established, let’s get to this week’s data based on NFL betting lines

NFL Public Betting Odds Report – Super Bowl Futures

As of Feb. 29, the Kansas City Chiefs (+650) is the public Super Bowl futures side at BetMGM online sportsbook

The Chiefs, who won Super Bowl LVIII mere weeks ago in Las Vegas, have received 18.4% of all tickets and 29.4% of the total handle at BetMGM. 

As a function of that percentage, the Chiefs have two times the amount of money to win the Super Bowl than any other team and have dropped from +750 to +650. 

Here are a few other popular teams based on their current ticket percentage: 

  • Detroit Lions (+1200): 12.8% of tickets
  • Buffalo Bills (+1200): 5.4% of tickets
  • Cleveland Browns (+4000): 5.1% of tickets
  • Cincinnati Bengals (+1400): 5.1% of tickets
  • Green Bay Packers (+2200): 4.9% of tickets
  • San Francisco 49ers (+500): 4.9% of tickets
  • Baltimore Ravens (+900): 4.5% of tickets
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (+8000): 3.1% of tickets
  • All Other Teams: Less than 3% of tickets

NFL Sharp Betting Odds Report – Super Bowl Futures

A few teams can be identified as sharply supported based on their handle percentages in the futures market. 

The Chiefs, for one, have received a significantly higher money percentage than their ticket count. As a result, they’re the first sharp target. 

Three other teams fit the sharp betting trend line: Buffalo, Green Bay and San Francisco. 

The Bills have received only 5.4% of all tickets compared to 7.5% of the total handle. 

As for Green Bay and San Francisco, they’ve both received 4.9% of tickets but 6.7% and 6.8% of the total handle, respectively.

NFL Betting Odds at BetMGM

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.