- The Chiefs (+500) have received a plurality of tickets and handle to win Super Bowl 59.
- Bettors predict the Houston Texans are the most likely to cover in Week 1.
- In terms of money percentages, bettors predict a cover from Cincinnati.
The 2024 NFL season has arrived! Below, bettors can find public betting data for the full slate of Week 1 games and various futures markets.
For clarity, public support is defined as when a side receives more than 51% of all tickets. In terms of the futures markets, it’s defined as the side that receives a plurality of tickets.
Bettors can identify sharp support when a team receives more money compared to their ticket count.
With that established, let’s get to this week’s data based on NFL betting lines.
NFL Public Betting Percentages & Money: Week 1
| Game | Opening Spread | Current Spread | Bets Placed | Money Wagered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Packers | Eagles -1.5 | Eagles -2 | Eagles 72% | Eagles 77% |
| Dolphins vs. Jaguars | Dolphins -3.5 | Dolphins -3.5 | Dolphins 55% | Jaguars 63% |
| Falcons vs. Steelers | Falcons -2.5 | Falcons -3 | Falcons 61% | Falcons 70% |
| Giants vs. Vikings | Giants -1 | Vikings -1.5 | Vikings 62% | Vikings 63% |
| Saints vs. Panthers | Saints -4.5 | Saints -4 | Panthers 63% | Panthers 74% |
| Bengals vs. Patriots | Bengals -8.5 | Bengals -8.5 | Bengals 71% | Bengals 74% |
| Bears vs. Titans | Bears -4.5 | Bears -3.5 | Titans 58% | Titans 63% |
| Bills vs. Cardinals | Bills -7 | Bills -6.5 | Bills 57% | Cardinals 51% |
| Colts vs. Texans | Texans -1.5 | Texans -3 | Texans 53% | Colts 51% |
| Chargers vs. Raiders | Chargers -3.5 | Chargers -3 | Chargers 52% | Chargers 50% |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos | Seahawks -4.5 | Seahawks -6 | Broncos 55% | Seahawks 67% |
| Buccaneers vs. Commanders | Buccaneers -4 | Buccaneers -3.5 | Commanders 55% | Commanders 64% |
| Browns vs. Cowboys | Cowboys -1.5 | Browns -2.5 | Cowboys 58% | Browns 51% |
| Lions vs. Rams | Lions -3.5 | Lions -4.5 | Lions 75% | Lions 74% |
| 49ers vs. Jets (MNF) | 49ers -6 | 49ers -4.5 | 49ers 53% | 49ers 50% |
On Tuesday morning, the Houston Texans (-2.5) qualified as the biggest public side at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Houston received 78% of bets placed to cover the spread against the Colts. Since the market opened, the Texans have risen from -1.5 to -2.5 in Week 1.
Two other teams captured more than 70% of tickets to cover the spread: the Vikings and Dolphins.
Miami received 77% of bets placed to cover as home favorites against the Jacksonville Jaguars while Minnesota has attracted 70% of bets as road favorites against the Giants.
The days since have seen a new team take the crown of the most bet side: the Detroit Lions.
At 75% of tickets, Detroit has jumped from 66% of tickets on Tuesday. That moved them from fifth in tickets to leading the ticket count.
The Eagles (72% of tickets) and Bengals (71% of tickets) are the only two sides to have received more than 65% of all bets. On Tuesday, five teams — Houston, Miami, Minnesota, Cincinnati and Detroit — all saw more than 65% of bets placed in their respective games.
NFL Public Betting: Super Bowl 59 Futures
As of August 27, the Kansas City Chiefs (+500) is the public Super Bowl futures side at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
The Chiefs, who won Super Bowl LVIII, have received 13.3% of all bets placed and 18.7% of all money wagered at BetMGM.
Here are a few other popular teams based on their current ticket percentage:
- Detroit Lions (+1200): 12.8% of bets placed
- Baltimore Ravens (+1000): 7.1% of bets placed
- San Francisco 49ers (+600): 6.8% of bets placed
- Philadelphia Eagles (+1200): 5.5% of bets placed
- Cincinnati Bengals (+1400): 5.1% of bets placed
- Green Bay Packers (+1600): 4.5% of bets placed
- Buffalo Bills (+1400): 4.1% of bets placed
- All Other Teams: Less than 4% of bets placed
NFL Sharp Betting: Super Bowl 59 Futures
A few teams can be identified as sharply supported based on their handle percentages in the futures market.
The Chiefs, for one, have received a significantly higher money percentage than their ticket count. As a result, they’re the first sharp target.
Two other teams have received significantly higher handle percentages compared to their bets percentage: Detroit and San Francisco.
The Lions have received 14.7% of all dollars wagered in the Super Bowl 59 futures market compared to 12.8% of all bets placed.
As for the 49ers, they’ve accounted for only 6.8% of all bets placed in the market compared to 9.9% of all dollars wagered. At that percentage, the 49ers trail only the Chiefs and Lions in terms of total dollars wagered.
NFL Public Betting: AFC Championship
Largely, there’s a strong correlation between teams’ Super Bowl futures trends and their percentages to claim their respective conference.
Beginning with the AFC, here are the top teams in terms of their bets percentages as of August 13:
- Kansas City Chiefs (+325): 17.9% of bets placed
- Baltimore Ravens (+550): 9.7% of bets placed
- Houston Texans (+800): 9.3% of bets placed
- New York Jets (+1000): 9% of bets placed
- Cincinnati Bengals (+700): 8.8% of bets placed
- Pittsburgh Steelers (+2500): 7% of bets placed
- Cleveland Browns (+1600): 6.9% of bets placed
- All Other Teams Under 5% of bets placed
NFL Public Betting: NFC Championship
- Detroit Lions (+550): 31.5% of bets placed
- Green Bay Packers (+800): 11.5% of bets placed
- Philadelphia Eagles (+600): 10.7% of bets placed
- Chicago Bears (+1200): 10.2% of bets placed
- San Francisco 49ers (+285): 9.1% of bets placed
- All Other Teams Under 5.5% of bets placed
NFL Sharp Betting, Conference Championship
Only one AFC team has drawn more than a 2% delta in their dollars wagered percentage compared to their bets placed percentage.
That’s the Chiefs, who have garnered 32.2% of dollars to win the conference on 17.9% of bets placed.
Only one other team has outperformed their bets percentage at all: the New York Jets. New York has received 10.1% of dollars wagered on 9% of bets placed.
In terms of the NFC, four teams have accounted for 71.5% of the money with all four outperforming their bets percentage.
The group consists of the Lions, Packers, Eagles and 49ers. Respectively, they’ve produced deltas of +2.7%, +0.6%, +1.3% and +4.1%.
NFL Public Betting: Division Winners
AFC East Winner: Public Betting
- Highest Bets Placed: Jets 45.7%
- Highest Money Wagered: Jets 67.4%
AFC North Winner: Public Betting
- Highest Bets Placed: Steelers 36.7%
- Highest Money Wagered: Bengals 45.8%
AFC South Winner: Public Betting
- Highest Bets Placed: Texans 39.1%
- Highest Money Wagered: Texans 53.2%
AFC West Winner: Public Betting
- Highest Bets Placed: Chiefs 35.9%
- Highest Money Wagered: Chiefs 95.1%
NFC East Winner: Public Betting
- Highest Bets Placed: Eagles 49.4%
- Highest Money Wagered: Eagles 64.4%
NFC North Winner: Public Betting
- Highest Bets Placed: Lions 47.2%
- Highest Money Wagered: Lions 64.4%
NFC South Winner: Public Betting
- Highest Bets Placed: Panthers 44.3%
- Highest Money Wagered: Panthers 45.5%
NFC West Winner: Public Betting
- Highest Bets Placed: Rams 27.9%
- Highest Money Wagered: 49ers 46.2%
NFL Public Betting: 2024 Season Win Totals
Rounding out the championship futures markets are the 2024 season win totals.
The regular season is just a few weeks away, and a few teams have attracted notable handle percentages on both the over and under.
These five teams have received the highest percentage of dollars wagered to go over their season win total:
- Denver Broncos Over 5.5 Wins (-145), 92% of dollars wagered
- Seattle Seahawks Over 7.5 Wins (-165), 91% of dollars wagered
- Philadelphia Eagles Over 10.5 Wins (-130), 89% of dollars wagered
- Detroit Lions Over 10.5 Wins (-135), 89% of dollars wagered
- Arizona Cardinals Over 6.5 Wins (-160), 87% of dollars wagered
Conversely, these five teams have received the highest percentage of tickets to finish under their season win total:
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under 7.5 Wins (+115), 92% of dollars wagered
- New England Patriots Under 4.5 Wins (+110), 90% of dollars wagered
- Baltimore Ravens Under 10.5 Wins (-105), 78% of dollars wagered
- Dallas Cowboys Under 9.5 Wins (+120), 73% of dollars wagered
- Buffalo Bills Under 10.5 Wins (-150), 72% of dollars wagered
Updated NFL Futures Odds
NFL futures are available at the online sportsbook throughout the entire year.
From offseason conference championship odds and win totals to in-season division odds and make/miss playoffs odds, there are futures markets for everyone.
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