NFL Public Betting: Percentages & Money Splits

Below, bettors can find public betting data for the full slate of Week 15 games and various futures markets.

For clarity, public support is defined as when a side receives more than 51% of all tickets. In terms of the futures markets, it’s defined as the side that receives a plurality of tickets. 

Bettors can identify sharp support when a team receives more money compared to their ticket count. 

With that established, let’s get to this week’s data based on NFL betting lines. 

NFL Public Betting Percentages & Money: Week 15

Based on public betting data for Week 15, public bettors predict the Cincinnati Bengals (-5) cover the spread in Nashville.

The Bengals, playing their second consecutive road game on a short week, have captured 90% of all bets placed to cover against the Titans. This season, Tennessee has managed only two covers.

The Bengals aren’t the only big favorite dominating the ticket count this weekend, though.

Across the remaining 15 games, eight market favorites have attracted at least 70% of bets placed to cover the spread: Kansas City, Cincinnati, Washington, Denver, Detroit, Arizona, Minnesota and Atlanta.

Only six of those teams have received at least 70% of money wagered to cover the spread, too. The two exceptions are the Cardinals (-6) and the Vikings (-7).

As of Friday morning, four market underdogs attracted at least 51% of bets placed to cover the spread.

Those teams are Pittsburgh, New York (N), Miami and Seattle.

But whereas tickets and money are hitting the Steelers, Dolphins and Seahawks, only tickets are hitting the Giants in a historic spread.

The Giants are on pace to close at their biggest ATS price in nearly 50 years. While tickets are on the Giants, money is supporting the Ravens coming off a bye week.

NFL Public Betting: Super Bowl 59 Futures

As of Dec. 10, the Detroit Lions (+270) are the public Super Bowl futures side at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

The Lions have received 16.3% of bets placed and 18.2% of money wagered. In terms of bets placed, that figure is down slightly from 16.4% of bets placed and 18.7% of all money wagered on Nov. 19.  

Here are a few other popular teams based on their current ticket percentage: 

• Kansas City Chiefs (+450): 12.4% of bets placed (-0.3% since Nov. 26)
• Baltimore Ravens (+1000): 7.8% of bets placed (-0.2%)
• Buffalo Bills (+600): 6.6% of bets placed (+0.7%)
• Philadelphia Eagles (+500): 6% of bets placed (+0.6%)
• San Francisco 49ers (+10000): 5.7% of bets placed (-0.2%)
• Cincinnati Bengals (+30000): 4.1% of bets placed (-0.2%)
• Green Bay Packers (+2000): 4% of bets placed (+0.2%)
• All Other Teams: Less than 3.9% of bets placed

NFL Sharp Betting: Super Bowl 59 Futures

A few teams can be identified as sharply supported based on their handle percentages in the futures market. 

The Lions, for one, have received a higher money percentage than their ticket count. As a result, they’re the first sharp target. 

Four other teams have received a higher handle percentages compared to their bets percentage: Kansas City, Baltimore, Buffalo and San Francisco.

The Chiefs have received 14% of all money wagered in the Super Bowl 59 futures market compared to 12.4% of all bets placed.

As for the 49ers, they’ve accounted for only 5.7% of all bets placed in the market compared to 7% of all dollars wagered. However, both figures are down since Nov. 26.

Finally, the Ravens and Bills have emerged as a sharp target.

On Nov. 26, Baltimore received 8% of all bets placed compared to 10.3% of all money wagered. Meanwhile, Buffalo attracted 7.9% of all money wagered on only 5.9% of bets to win Super Bowl 59.

As of Dec. 12, the Ravens own a 7.8% share of bets and 10.3% share of money wagered. The Bills are currently sitting on a 6.6% share of bets placed and an 8.4% share of money wagered.

NFL Public Betting: AFC Championship

Largely, there’s a strong correlation between teams’ Super Bowl futures trends and their percentages to claim their respective conference. 

Beginning with the AFC, here are the top teams in terms of their bets percentages as of Dec. 12

• Kansas City Chiefs (+190): 18.8% of bets placed (-0.2% since Nov. 26)
• Baltimore Ravens (+450): 11.7% of bets placed (no change)
• Buffalo Bills (+225): 9.2% of bets placed (+0.9%)
• New York Jets (OTB): 8.8% of bets placed (-0.5%)
• Cincinnati Bengals (+15000): 8.3% of bets placed (-0.3%)
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+850): 8.2% of bets placed (+1%)
• Houston Texans (+1500): 7.4% of bets placed (-0.3%)
• All Other Teams Under 5.5% of bets placed

NFL Public Betting: NFC Championship

• Detroit Lions (+130): 35.5% of bets placed (-0.2% since Nov. 26)
• Philadelphia Eagles (+260): 11% of bets placed (+0.8%)
• Green Bay Packers (+900): 9.3% of bets placed (+0.1%)
• San Francisco 49ers (+5000): 8.5% of bets placed (-0.7%)
• All Other Teams Under 6.5% of bets placed

NFL Sharp Betting, Conference Championship

A new team has emerged as the sharp target in the AFC following Week 5: the Baltimore Ravens.

Baltimore has received 11.7% of bets placed to win the conference. That puts them second to the Kansas City Chiefs in terms of bets placed.

However, the Ravens have amassed 43.2% of money wagered to win the conference. That’s by far the most money accumulated to win the AFC.

No other team has outperformed their bets percentage in terms of money wagered, rendering the Ravens the only sharp target.

In terms of the NFC, two teams have outperformed their bets percentage: Detroit and San Francisco.

The Lions, which have amassed the most bets to win the NFC, are sitting on 43.1% of all money wagered to win the conference. Additionally, the 49ers have amassed 10% of all money wagered on 8.5% of bets placed.

Both figures for San Francisco are down slightly since Nov. 26. On that date, San Francisco amassed 10.5% of money wagered on 9% of bets placed.

Detroit has seen their bets percentage fall ever so slightly, but their money wagered figured has held steady over the same timeframe.