Raiders vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

• The Saints are -3 point favorites vs the Raiders
• Total (Over/Under): 44 points
• Watch this game on CBS

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-0-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (1-1-0) on Sep. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 pm in New Orleans, LA.

The Saints are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-118).

The Raiders vs. Saints Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Raiders vs. Saints Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Saints will win this game with 63.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Raiders vs Saints Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

• Ashton Jeanty has hit the Longest Rush Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)
• Kirk Cousins has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+5.70 Units / 114% ROI)
• Michael Mayer has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
• Michael Mayer has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
• Brock Bowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Tyler Shough has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
• Tyler Shough has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
• Chris Olave has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• Chris Olave has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
• Devaughn Vele has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Saints vs Raiders

Raiders Best Bets:

• The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Saints Best Bets:

• The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.53 Units / 59% ROI)
• The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.49 Units / 48% ROI)
• The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.71 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 27% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Raiders are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 132.08% ROI
• Raiders are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
• RaidersRaidersRaiders are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Saints are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 112.5% ROI
• Saints are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Saints are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Raiders are 2-11 (.154) after a loss since the 2025 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .419.

The Raiders were winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.

The Raiders were winless (0-7) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .339.

The Raiders were winless (0-11) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .404.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Saints were winless (0-4) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.

The Saints were winless (0-5) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

Saints are 2-10 (.167) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game (3rd-worst in NFL) and .714 when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2025 season (7th-best in NFL).

The Saints are winless (0-4) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints have been successful on just 20.0% of rush attempts with motion this season — worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed a success rate of just 22.2% on rush attempts against motion this season — best in NFL.

The Saints are averaging just 3.7 yards per carry since the 2025 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 4.1 yards per carry since the 2025 season — T-2nd-best in NFL.

Saints QBs have been 8 sacked times this season — 2nd-most in NFL. The Raiders have sacked the quarterback 8 times this season — T-most in NFL.

The Raiders have a third down conversion rate of just 33.8% since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 34.7% since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Raiders have averaged just -0.12 epa per play in the second half since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed just -0.13 epa per play in the second half since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL.

Raiders WRs have just 104.4 receiving yards per game since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Saints have averaged just 122.8 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 27% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Raiders ran successful plays on 34% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders have averaged -0.95 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.50.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats

The Saints have gone three and out 19 times in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Saints have scored on 14% of their drives (7/51) in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Saints have faced a blitz 30 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Saints went three and out 18 times in the 1st quarter last season — most in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense forced 4 fumbles in Week 2 — T-most in NFL.

The Raiders defense has forced 6 fumbles this season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 10.8 against play action passes (5 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 97.9.

The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 63.2 (54 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 94.7.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 30% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 27% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 28% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of plays in the 4th quarter since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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