- The Lions are -7 point favorites vs the Saints
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The New Orleans Saints (0-0-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (0-0-0) on Sep. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Detroit, MI.
The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-108).
The Saints vs. Lions Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Saints | +7 -110 | 48.5 +100 | +260 |
| Lions | -7 -108 | 48.5 -135 | -325 |
Saints vs. Lions Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 67.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Saints vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread with 64.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
- Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Shough has hit the Completions Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Tyler Shough has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Daniel Carlson has hit the Field Goals Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jared Goff has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jameson Williams has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Saints
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | -325 |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | +105 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | +110 |
| Chris Olave | +140 |
| Jameson Williams | +165 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 77.5 -115 | 77.5 -115 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 77.5 -115 | 77.5 -115 |
| Jameson Williams | 55.5 -115 | 55.5 -115 |
| Sam LaPorta | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -115 |
| Juwan Johnson | 41.5 -115 | 41.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Lions vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 85.5 -110 | 85.5 -120 |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -115 |
| Tyler Shough | 16.5 -120 | 16.5 -111 |
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.42 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.71 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 77% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 88% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.10 Units / 62% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+11.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 33% ROI)
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Saints were 2-9 (.182) when making less than 7 explosive plays in a game (8th-lowest in NFL) and 4-2 (.667) when making 7 or more explosive plays in a game last season (T-10th-best in NFL).
The Saints were 2-10 (.167) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game (T-4th-lowest in NFL) and 4-1 (.800) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season (3rd-best in NFL).
The Saints were 2-10 (.167) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.
The Saints were 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .341.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Lions were 8-4 (.667) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush (T-8th-best in NFL) and 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush last season (7th-lowest in NFL).
The Lions were 9-1 (.900) when rushing for 100 or more yards (T-2nd-best in NFL) and 0-7 (.000) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season (T-lowest in NFL).
The Lions are 24-2 (.923) when rushing for 100 or more yards (best in NFL) and 0-8 (.000) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2024 season (T-lowest in NFL).
The Lions were 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .718.
Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions had an average drive start position from the 30.6 yard line last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Saints allowed an average drive start position from the 32.9 yard line last season — highest in NFL.
The Lions were successful on just 35.2% of rush attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-lowest in NFL. The Saints allowed a success rate of just 33.3% on rush attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL.
Lions RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on just 3.5% of 85 carries in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-lowest in NFL. The Saints allowed 10+ yards on just 4.4% of carries to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL.
Saints RBs averaged just 1.8 yards after contact per carry last season — T-4th-lowest in NFL. The Lions allowed just 1.7 yards after contact per carry to RBs last season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Saints have averaged just -0.09 epa per play on play action passes since the 2024 season — 3rd-lowest in NFL. The Lions have allowed just -0.03 epa per play on play action passes since the 2024 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Saints scored on 61.5% of their drives in the fourth quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions defense allowed scores on 57.1% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-highest in NFL.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints went three and out 18 times in the 1st quarter last season — most in NFL.
The Saints went three and out on 38% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Saints ran successful plays on 40% of plays on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Saints ran 11% of their plays in the red zone last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions went for it on fourth down 84% of the time in short yardage situations last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 56%.
The Lions had 65 receptions for 20+ yards last season — 3rd-most in NFL.
The Lions averaged 0.10 epa per play in the 1st half last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
32% of the Lions offense’s first downs (105 of 329) came on the ground last season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 27% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Saints defense allowed 9 TDs on first drive of the game last season — most in NFL.
The Saints defense allowed a late down conversion rate of 7% when opponents had 4-6 yards to go last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 33% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 45% on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Lions defense stuffed 39% (12/31) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Lions defense allowed successful plays on 40% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Lions defense allowed first downs on 48% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 68%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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