Seahawks vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Pick: Week 8 MNF

Below, bettors can find NFL odds and a Seahawks vs Bears prediction for Week 8’s MNF matchup at Lumen Field.

Seahawks vs Bears Odds: Spread, Moneyline & Total

Bears vs Seahawks Prediction

Based on the Seahawks’ dominance of the Chiefs and Chicago’s high-variance defensive metrics, my Seahawks vs Bears prediction is the Seahawks Spread (-3, -120).

In my estimation, the Seahawks’ 20-3 beatdown of the Chiefs on SNF flattered Kansas City in terms of margin.

Red zone chances finished 3-0 in Seattle’s direction. Brian Fleury’s offense failed to convert any of those three chances into a touchdown, including one Sam Darnold interception.

Now he gets an easier test in Dennis Allen’s Bears defense. Thematic about the Bears defense this year is total volatility and an inability to take the defensive quality away from home.

Chicago ranks 19th in defensive DVOA compared to 29th in variance (32 = the most variant defense).

Most of Chicago’s defensive success came at home against the Eagles, Jets and Vikings. Away from home, we’ve seen the unit deliver bad performances against Carolina and Green Bay.

Chicago’s worst defensive DVOA rating of the season came at Green Bay. Sample the entire season thus far and bettors will find Seattle rates slightly better in DVOA (22nd vs 24th).

Meanwhile, the Bears offensive metrics are largely driven by a Week 1 showing in Carolina. Currently, Chicago sits at a 4.9% DVOA rating with a 55% rating from the Panthers game.

Ben Johnson gets a Seahawks defense that still paces the NFL in defensive DVOA, including third in rush DVOA. If Caleb Williams is forced to play from behind, it’s a recipe for disaster.

Those factors lead me to predict Seattle covers the spread for the second straight game at home.