- The Bears are -5.5 point favorites vs the Vikings
- Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Minnesota Vikings (1-0-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (1-0-0) on Sep. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Chicago, IL.
The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-102).
The Vikings vs. Bears Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | +5.5 -130 | 47.5 -105 | +180 |
| Bears | -5.5 -102 | 47.5 -125 | -220 |
Vikings vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 66.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Completions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jauan Jennings has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jordan Mason has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rome Odunze has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luther Burden III has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.50 Units / 102% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.25 Units / 78% ROI)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Vikings
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | -145 |
| D'Andre Swift | -135 |
| Justin Jefferson | +130 |
| Kyle Monangai | +150 |
| Luther Burden III | +165 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 77.5 -115 | 77.5 -115 |
| Luther Burden III | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -115 |
| Colston Loveland | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -115 |
| Jordan Addison | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 61.5 -115 | 61.5 -115 |
| Kyle Monangai | 36.5 -111 | 36.5 -118 |
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.44 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+10.96 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Vikings are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 71.43% ROI
- Vikings are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- VikingsVikingsVikings are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Bears are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 62.5% ROI
- Bears are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Bears are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Vikings are undefeated (5-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .661.
The Vikings were undefeated (7-0) when leading at the end of the third quarter last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .839.
The Vikings are 8-3 (.727) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2025 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .601.
The Vikings are 1-8 (.111) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2025 season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .280.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Bears are 12-4 (.750) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2025 season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Vikings have turned the ball over 29 times since the 2025 season — most in NFL.
The Bears were 11-4 (.733) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Vikings turned the ball over 28 times last season — most in NFL.
The Bears are undefeated (10-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .653.
The Bears were undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .718.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 58.6% of pass attempts last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings had pressured opposing QBs on 54.8% of passing plays last week — 3rd-best in NFL.
Bears WRs averaged 4.9 yards after the catch last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Vikings allowed 4.8 yards after catch per reception to WRs last season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Bears are 12-4 (.750) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2025 season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Vikings have turned the ball over 29 times since the 2025 season — most in NFL.
The Vikings were successful on just 21.4% of pass attempts with motion last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bears pressured opposing QBs on 58.8% of pass attempts against motion last week — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Vikings have turned the ball over 29 times since the 2025 season — most in NFL. The Bears have forced 35 turnovers since the 2025 season — most in NFL.
The Vikings turned the ball over 28 times last season — most in NFL. The Bears forced 33 turnovers last season — most in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings converted first downs on just 21 of 50 plays (42%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Vikings have converted first downs on just 23 of 52 plays (44%) on 3rd and short since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Vikings ran 52% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Vikings averaged 0.17 epa per play against open coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.39.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears rushed for 6 TDs in Week 1 — most in NFL.
The Bears scored 8 TDs in Week 1 — most in NFL.
The Bears converted late downs on 5 of 21 plays (24%) with 4-6 yards to go in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Bears have converted late downs on 42 of 322 plays (13%) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 25% of plays since the 2025 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Vikings defense has blitzed 272 times since the 2025 season — most in NFL.
The Vikings defense blitzed on 55% of plays in Week 1 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Vikings defense has allowed 144 of 276 (52%) first downs on the ground last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 69% of plays open coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 69% of pass attempts open coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of just 39.3 on 3rd and long (75 Pass Attempts) since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 82.8.
The Bears defense allowed a passer rating of just 38.2 on 3rd and long (72 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 82.0.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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