- The Packers are -3 point favorites vs the Vikings
- Total (Over/Under): 42 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Minnesota Vikings (6-2-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (6-3-0) on Nov. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Green Bay, WI.
The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-135).
The Vikings vs. Packers Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | +3 +100 | 42 -108 | +145 |
| Packers | -3 -135 | 42 -110 | -175 |
Vikings vs. Packers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 66.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Packers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jordan Addison has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jauan Jennings has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jordan Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 90% ROI)
- Matthew Golden has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 24% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Vikings
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | +725 |
| Christian Watson | +800 |
| Jordan Mason | +800 |
| Matthew Golden | +825 |
| Kaleb Johnson | +950 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Vikings
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian Watson | +145 |
| Justin Jefferson | +150 |
| Matthew Golden | +160 |
| Jordan Mason | +200 |
| Tucker Kraft | +225 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Packers vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 78.5 -115 | 78.5 -115 |
| Christian Watson | 72.5 -115 | 72.5 -115 |
| Matthew Golden | 69.5 -115 | 69.5 -115 |
| Jordan Addison | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -115 |
| Tucker Kraft | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mason | 44.5 -115 | 44.5 -115 |
| Aaron Jones | 28.5 -115 | 28.5 -115 |
| Jordan Love | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.89 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 games (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 4-4 (-0.5 Units / -5.62% ROI).
- Vikings are 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 31.27% ROI
- Vikings are 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
- VikingsVikingsVikings are 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 28.72% ROI).
- Packers are 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 17.13% ROI
- Packers are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Packers are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Vikings are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.
The Vikings are winless (0-3) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .194.
The Vikings are 6-1 (.857) this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Vikings are 3-1 (.750) on the road this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .484.
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
Packers are 11-3 (.786) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down (7th-best in NFL) and just .273 when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down since the 2025 season (6th-worst in NFL).
Packers are 13-5 (.722) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays in a game (10th-best in NFL) and just .250 when allowing less than 7 explosive plays in a game since the 2025 season (8th-worst in NFL).
Packers are 12-1-1 (.857) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns (2nd-best in NFL) and just .250 when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2025 season (T-7th-worst in NFL).
The Packers are undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .553.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
The Packers have been successful on just 32.7% of rush attempts with motion this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed a success rate of just 35.1% on rush attempts against motion this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Packers have scored on 22.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed scores on 9.5% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL.
The Packers have been successful on just 38.1% of plays they have run with motion this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed a success rate of just 36.7% against motion this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
Vikings WRs have averaged just 14.0 targets per game this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL. The Packers have allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — 2nd-highest in NFL.
The Vikings have thrown the ball just 46.7% of the time this season — T-3rd-lowest in NFL. The Packers have allowed just 5.9 yards per dropback this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Vikings have averaged just -0.19 epa per play in the first half since Week 6 — T-worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed just -0.16 epa per play in the first half since Week 6 — 3rd-best in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have run 6% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings have averaged 0.16 epa per play against open coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.40.
The Vikings have averaged 0.15 epa per play against open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.42.
The Vikings have averaged -0.73 epa per play on first drive of the game since Week 6 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers have averaged -0.19 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.49.
The Packers have averaged 5.6 yards per play against tight coverage since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3.3.
The Packers have 40 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Packers have run successful plays on 33% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense has allowed 4 TD passes this season — fewest in NFL.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 33% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Vikings defense has allowed scores on 25% of opponent drives (19/76) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Vikings defense has allowed 154.9 passing yards per game (1,084/7) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 219.1.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense has forced 20 turnovers this season — most in NFL.
The Packers defense has 13 interceptions this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Packers defense allowed first downs on 50% of rush attempts in Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Packers defense allowed 8 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 9 — most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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