John Deere Classic 2026: Predictions, Best Bets

Michael Thorbjornsen watches his ball on the second green during the first round at the RBC Heritage golf tournament, Thursday, April 16, 2026, in Hilton Head Island, S.C.
(AP Photo/Mike Stewart)
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The PGA Tour will return to the Midwest with the John Deere Classic from TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, July 2-5.

While not a PGA Tour signature event, several stars are in the field, including Ben Griffin, Chris Gotterup and Jackson Koivun making his professional debut. This is a big week for players to take off, with the Genesis Scottish Open and Open Championship on deck.

Historically, TPC Deere Run turns into a birdie fest. The winning score has been 20-under or better in five of the last seven years.

*odds as of June 30

John Deere Classic Prediction

Ben Griffin and Chris Gotterup are predicted to win the John Deere Classic with a 6.67% implied probability, according to betting markets.

Implied probability is the overall chance of a potential outcome in relation to the odds.

John Deere Classic Best Bets

Michael Thorbjornsen Outright Winner (+3500)

This is not my favorite event of the year, with many players opting to rest up for the two tournaments across the Atlantic Ocean the next few weeks, so I will be keeping my card small.

Thorbjornsen hasn’t had the greatest of seasons, but he finished in 16th two starts ago at the Charles Schwab Challenge, and has a solid history at TPC Deere Run. In three appearances, he’s finished T-21, T-2 and T-17.

Historically, this has been an event where players have broken through for their first win, and Thorbjornsen certainly fits that bill.

The attention may have gone to other young stars of late, but don’t forget he was at the top of the PGA Tour University rankings in 2024, giving him his PGA Tour card.

Visit the online sportsbook for all golf betting opportunities this week and throughout the year.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor using a sportsbook welcome bonus, a casual fan betting on Masters odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down weather trends for The Players Championship, there’s entertainment for everyone.

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About the Author Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”