Best PGA Picks this Week for the RBC Heritage

This week, golfers compete in the latest PGA Tour signature event: the RBC Heritage from Harbour Town. 

Most Likely to Win the RBC Heritage

Current golf odds price Scottie Scheffler (+400) as the favorite to win this week. At his price, Scheffler – a winner here in 2024 – owns a 20% implied probability to claim victory. 

Rory McIlroy sits out the event after his Masters win, leaving Xander Schauffele (+1400) as the closest challenger. 

After Schauffele are Tommy Fleetwood, Matt Fitzpatrick and Cameron Young (all +1800). 

Let’s dive into the selections. Prices are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement. 

Best Golf Picks for the RBC Heritage

Xander Schauffele (+1400)

After a weak start to 2026, Schauffele rapidly improved his ball-striking record. 

Only Collin Morikawa outpaces Schauffele in SG: APP for 2026. Schauffele, over his last 12 rounds, has gained at least five strokes on approach in all three starts. 

His +20.2 SG: APP output over those three events accounts for 83% of his SG: APP output for the year. 

Schauffele will arrive at Harbour Town riding three straight top-10 finishes, too. In 2023, the two-time major champion finished fourth at the Pete Dye design. 

He followed it up with a pair of top-20s when the Heritage became a signature event in 2024. In 2025, it marked only his third start of the year after a return from injury. 

He enters this version playing significantly better golf. Coming in at second in my model, Schauffele fits the profile of a contender this week.

Tommy Fleetwood (+1800)

Fleetwood started very well at Augusta National before imploding over the weekend. Still, he arrives at Harbour Town with some encouraging iron results of late.

Prior to Augusta (+0.01 SG: APP), Fleetwood cleared +1.1 SG: APP at both TPC San Antonio and TPC Sawgrass. He also notched his best finish of the season at Pebble Beach (T-4). 

In that event, Fleetwood edged the field with his irons on the more difficult green complexes. In three rounds at Pebble Beach, Fleetwood gained +1.19 SG: APP per round. 

Now he’s heading to Harbour Town, where he finished seventh last year. He also finished runner-up at TPC River Highlands, another Pete Dye design with small greens. 

Over the last 12 months, only Scottie Scheffler and Akshay Bhatia outpaced Fleetwood in SG: APP to small greens. 

Pair that record with his positive course history, and I predict Fleetwood contends for a win this week.

Daniel Berger (+8000)

Berger’s form since being a runner-up at the Arnold Palmer leaves a lot to be desired. He finished T-66 at the Players before missing the cut at Augusta National.

But he showed a spike approach potential at Bay Hill that might translate to Harbour Town. In his last four visits to the Pete Dye design, Berger finished no worse than T-21. 

Within that sample, Berger placed fifth or better twice, including last year. In his last three visits to this track, Berger gained over one stroke per round on approach. 

At Bay Hill, the four-time PGA Tour winner spiked to +1.98 SG: APP per round. 

Over his last 24 rounds, Berger ranks third in percentage of rounds where he gained over one SG: APP per round. 

At a course with some of the smallest greens on tour, I’m looking for players who can rely on their irons. Of his four wins, Berger notched three at courses with small greens. 

Berger ranks 17th in my initial model but sits all the way down at 80-1 on the board. In my estimation, he owns a higher win equity than his price would indicate.

RBC Heritage Consensus Picks & Public Betting Data

Most bet First Round Leader (Tickets)

• Scottie Scheffler +1100
• Sungjae Im +6600
• Cameron Young +2200
• Justin Thomas +4000
• Jordan Spieth +3300

Most Bet to Finish Top 5 (Tickets)

• Scottie Scheffler -135
• Cameron Young +275
• Tommy Fleetwood +400
• Jordan Spieth +450
• Matt Fitzpatrick +275

Most Bet to Finish Top 10 (Tickets)

• Russell Henley +140
• Patrick Cantlay +200
• Jordan Spieth +225
• Xander Schauffele +125
• Tommy Fleetwood +180

Most Bet to Finish Top 20 (Tickets)

• Jordan Spieth -110
• Matt McCarty +333
• Jake Knapp +110
• Andrew Putnam +300
• Akshay Bhatia +160