- Scottie Scheffler (+400) is predicted to win the Scottish Open.
- I predict Viktor Hovland (+3000) or Sam Burns (+3500) wins at the Renaissance Club.
- A case for Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen (+8000) to outperform his market rating.
A week before the British Open, players head to the Renaissance Club for the Scottish Open.
Scottie Scheffler (+400) arrives as the favorite to win. After Rory McIlroy (+800), oddsmakers list six players between +2000 and +3000.
Amongst that group: Tommy Fleetwood (+2200), Collin Morikawa (+2500), Robert MacIntyre (+2500) and Viktor Hovland (+3000).
Let’s dive into my picks for the Scottish Open based on golf odds from BetMGM.
PGA Tour Expert Picks: Scottish Open
Viktor Hovland (+3000) | Top-20 Finish (+140)
Hovland posted his best underlying metrics a few weeks ago in the U.S. Open.
The Norwegian finished T-3 at Oakmont while sitting second and third in SG: T2G and SG: APP, respectively.
Over his last 24 rounds, Hovland ranks second in SG: APP. He also ranks 14th in greens in regulation gained along with seventh in birdies or better gained and Par 5 Efficiency.
While Hovland lacks a good course history at this track, he previously produced strong Open Championship results.
Before a MC in 2024, he finished 13-4-12 in his first three Open starts.
Based on those factors, I like the price on Hovland to claim a second win in 2025.
Sam Burns (+3500) | Top-20 Finish (+160)
If you examine Robert MacIntyre’s win last year, bettors will find Burns excels in the key stats that informed success.
Last year, MacIntyre ranked fifth or better in SG: T2G, SG: APP and Par 4 Efficiency. While he failed to crack the top 5 in SG: Putting, he led the field in putting from 15-20 feet.
Burns ranks 25th or better in all five of those categories over his last 12 rounds. Plus, not since the Waste Management Phoenix Open has Burns lost strokes putting.
In terms of course history, Burns made a significant improvement in 2023. After finishing 66th here in 2022, he leaped to 19th in 2023.
That year, Burns ranked second in the field in bogey avoidance. He also ranked T-3rd in Par 4 Efficiency.
Pair those positive steps with recent form, and I’ll back Burns to claim his first win in 2025 this week.
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen (+8000)
The Dane put on a ball-striking clinic in his recent starts on the PGA Tour.
Neergaard-Petersen finished 12th in the U.S. Open behind +10.8 strokes tee to green. He also gained +4.6 at the PGA Championship and +9.1 at the Valspar.
Of those strokes, 47% came via his iron play. Historically, SG: APP is a strong indicator of success at the Renaissance Club.
Neergaard-Petersen owns the following ranks over the last 12 rounds:
- SG: T2G: 2nd
- SG: OTT: 7th
- SG: APP: 5th
- SG: ARG: 16th
The lone issue? He ranks 151st in SG: Putting over that span. In two of his last three PGA Tour starts, he lost over three strokes putting.
If Neergaard-Petersen can simply prove average on the greens, the ball striking could lead to a contending effort.
U.S. Open Golf Odds at BetMGM
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