Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Bournemouth vs Brentford prediction.

Bournemouth vs Brentford: Premier League Odds

Brentford vs Bournemouth Prediction

Based on Bournemouth’s consistent attacking metrics to start the season and Brentford’s key absence, my Bournemouth vs Brentford prediction is Bournemouth Over 1.5 Goals (+100).

Regardless of the opponent, Bournemouth has recorded strong attacking metrics so far. Marco Rose’s side created at least 1.8 post-shot expected goals in three straight to start the year.

What’s interesting is that Bournemouth underperformed its underlying metrics. The attack has scored four goals vs. 5.8 post-shot xG, including a full goal as dogs at Manchester City.

Rose’s team will greet a Brentford side that has kept three straight opponents under this benchmark. However, it’s to be expected when you factor in opponent strength.

Keith Andrews’ Bees have played two of their first three against teams that ranked 17th or worse in expected goals last season. Both came at home, too, surrendering a penalty to Sunderland.

By last year’s attacking data, Bournemouth qualifies as the most difficult opponent so far for Brentford. More concerning? Brentford will likely enter this match without Nathan Collins.

The central defender departed only 17 minutes into the match against Sunderland. Even excluding Sunderland’s penalty kick, the Brentford defense still allowed 0.9 xG.

Comparatively, Bournemouth outpaced Sunderland by 12 spots in last year’s xG rankings. The Cherries created 67 xG to Sunderland’s 43 expected goals.

Bournemouth stayed under this benchmark in both meetings against Brentford last year. However, bettors saw Bournemouth create chances in both meetings.

The Cherries scored only once over two meetings with Brentford. However, the attack created 4.64 expected goals in the process.

It leads me to estimate the market has yet to catch up with Bournemouth’s attacking quality. Accordingly, I predict the hosts will clear this benchmark for the second straight game.