- Fulham is predicted to be a 0.5-goal home underdog against Bournemouth.
- Fulham has conceded at least once in 12 straight EPL matches as a home dog.
- My Fulham vs Bournemouth prediction is Fulham Under 1.5 Goals (-145).
Bournemouth will look to extend its lengthy unbeaten run as road favorites against Fulham.
The Cherries enter Saturday’s fixture riding a 15-match unbeaten streak. Most recently, Andoni Iraola’s side captured a 3-0 win over Crystal Palace on Matchday 35.
Fulham suffered a brutal 3-0 loss at Arsenal last weekend. In better news for Marco Silva’s side, the Irons have taken maximum points in 10 of 17 at home this season.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Fulham vs Bournemouth prediction.
Fulham vs Bournemouth: Premier League Odds
Bournemouth vs Fulham Prediction
Based on Fulham’s weak attacking record without Alex Iwobi and their poor metrics at Bournemouth, my Fulham vs. Bournemouth prediction is Fulham Under 1.5 Goals (-145).
It’s difficult to place much trust in Fulham’s attack right now. They’ve cleared this benchmark only once in the previous seven matches.
That success came as big home favorites against Burnley, one of the EPL’s worst defenses. Outside of that fixture, Fulham have created over one expected goal only once in six.
The lackluster offensive results coincide with Alex Iwobi’s injury. Iwobi provides a crucial presence to the attack, which produced decent results prior to his injury.
In 27 Iwobi starts this campaign, Fulham surpassed 1.5 goals 10 times. In eight matches without him, Silva’s side cleared 1.5 goals only twice.
It’s somewhat encouraging that their successes came against Liverpool and Chelsea at home. However, Bournemouth offers a better defense than the latter.
When these teams last met, Fulham struggled to create chances. The Irons scored only once at Bournemouth off 0.9 expected goals and 1.1 post-shot xG, per FotMob.
They’re also running into a defense that has played well during the unbeaten streak. Over the last 15 matches, Bournemouth allowed over 1.5 goals only four times.
Three of those four Bournemouth failures came against attacks ranked 10th or better in expected goals this season. By comparison, Fulham ranks 13th in the league.
Without Iwobi, Ryan Sessegnon, and Kevin, I predict the Fulham attack will continue to struggle and stay under this benchmark.
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