Fulham vs. Newcastle Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 18, 2024, 2:44 PM
  • Fulham is predicted to be a +0.5-goal underdog against Newcastle.
  • Newcastle has won six straight against Fulham in all competitions.
  • I predict Newcastle United will earn all three points on Saturday.

Seeking their fourth win in five games, Newcastle United travels to London on Saturday for a meeting with Fulham. 

The Magpies used a second-half comeback against Wolves on Sunday to earn all three points. 

Fulham, meanwhile, took an early lead against West Ham but conceded in the 95th minute to draw 1-1. 

Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my Fulham vs. Newcastle Prediction. 

Fulham vs. Newcastle Odds, Premier League

  • Fulham Moneyline: +175
  • Newcastle Moneyline: +138
  • Draw Moneyline: +260
  • Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-175/+125)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-200), No (+138)

Fulham vs. Newcastle Prediction: Moneyline

My Fulham vs. Newcastle prediction is the Newcastle United Moneyline (+138). 

I love this spot for Newcastle, which has won six straight against Fulham in all competitions. 

The match I’m placing the most stock into is last season’s FA Cup meeting, a 2-0 Newcastle win. 

That marks the most recent match where Fulham operated without Joao Palhinha and Tosin Adarabioyo. 

Without them, Marco Silva’s side lost the post-shot expected goals battle 2.2-0.6, per fotmob.com. 

Fulham also plays this match on short rest. The Cottagers travel to Preston on Wednesday before returning home to face Newcastle. 

The Magpies, meanwhile, have six days between games. 

Even if Fulham rotate out key players on Wednesday, they’ll have to overcome a system suggesting a bet on the Newcastle moneyline. 

Since 2012, visiting favorites in games 1-6 priced between -190 and +150 are 45-17 SU, assuming two factors:

  • The previous head-to-head result fell between +0 and +2
  • The previous game the favorite was a favorite

When those teams are coming off a win, they improve to 27-9 SU (75%). 

For those reasons, bet Newcastle United to earn all three points on Saturday at Craven Cottage. 

Fulham Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Sept. 14 vs. West Ham: 1-1, D
  • Aug. 31 at Ipswich Town: 1-1, D
  • Aug. 27 at Birmingham: 2-0, W (EFL Cup)
  • Aug. 24 vs. Leicester City: 2-1, W
  • Aug. 16 at Manchester United: 0-1, L

Newcastle Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Sept. 15 at Wolves: 2-1, W
  • Sept. 1 vs. Tottenham: 2-1, W
  • Aug. 28 at Nottingham Forest: 1-1, D (EFL Cup, Forest Advance)
  • Aug. 25 at Bournemouth: 1-1, D
  • Aug. 17 vs. Southampton: 1-0, W

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Fulham odds and Newcastle United odds!

EPL Match Schedule This Weekend

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedManchester CitySep. 287:30 a.m.St. James' Park
ArsenalLeicester CitySep. 2810 a.m.Emirates Stadium
BrentfordWest Ham UnitedSep. 2810 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
ChelseaBrighton & Hove AlbionSep. 2810 a.m.Stamford Bridge
EvertonCrystal PalaceSep. 2810 a.m.Goodison Park
Nottingham ForestFulhamSep. 2810 a.m.The City Ground
WolvesLiverpoolSep. 2812:30 p.m.Molineux
Ipswich TownAston VillaSep. 299 a.m.Portman Road
Manchester UnitedTottenhamSep. 2911:30 a.m.Old Trafford
BournemouthSouthamptonSep. 303 p.m. Vitality Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Manchester City4-1-0138
Liverpool4-0-1129
Aston Villa4-0-1123
Arsenal3-2-0115
Chelsea3-1-1106
Newcastle United3-1-1101
Brighton & Hove Albion2-3-094
Nottingham Forest2-3-092
Fulham2-2-182
Tottenham Hotspur2-1-274
Manchester United2-1-270
Brentford2-0-36-2
Bournemouth1-2-25-3
West Ham United1-1-34-4
Leicester City0-3-23-2
Crystal Palace0-3-23-3
Ipswich Town0-3-23-5
Southampton0-1-41-7
Everton0-1-41-9
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-41-9

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Aston Villa4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Brentford3-2-0.6002-0-01.0001-2-0.333
Brighton & Hove Albion3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Chelsea3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Crystal Palace2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Everton1-4-0.2000-2-0.0001-2-0.333
Fulham2-3-0.4002-1-0.6670-2-0.000
Ipswich Town3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Leicester City2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Liverpool4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Manchester City3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Manchester United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Newcastle United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Nottingham Forest3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Southampton1-4-0.2000-3-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur2-3-0.4002-1-0.5000-2-0.000
West Ham United2-3-0.4000-3-0.0002-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-3-0.4000-2-0.0002-1-0.667
EPL Odds

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.