Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool Prediction, Odds, Pick | Premier League Match Preview

Liverpool's Diogo Jota, left, celebrates scoring his sides second goal during the English Premier League soccer match between Burnley and Liverpool at Turf Moor stadium in Burnley, England, Tuesday, Dec. 26, 2023.
(Jon Super/AP Photo)
  • Liverpool is a -0.5-goal favorite against Nottingham Forest.
  • Can Liverpool overcome multiple key injuries to stay in the title race?
  • How to back home underdogs Forest in this match.

Before Saturdayโ€™s kickoff from The City Ground, Iโ€™m set to offer a Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool prediction.ย 

Visitors Liverpool enter this game in good form. Following a 4-1 league in over Luton Town, they captured a League Cup Final win over Chelsea and beat Southampton in the FA Cup.ย 

As for Forest, they suffered a heartbreaking 1-0 loss in the FA Cup round of 16 against Manchester United and have dropped all three points in two of their last three league matches.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the EPL odds and my best bet for Saturdayโ€™s fixture.ย 

EPL Betting Odds – Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest

  • Liverpool Moneyline: -190
  • Nottingham Forest Moneyline: +450
  • Draw Moneyline: +360
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+110/-150)

EPL Prediction – Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest 1H Spread (+0.5, -135)

Liverpool, despite their current form, have so many injuries to overcome for this match.ย 

All of the following normal starters will likely miss Saturdayโ€™s match: Mo Salah, Darwin Nunez, Diogo Jota, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Wataru Endo, Ryan Gravenberch, Curtis Jones, Alisson Becker and Dominik Szoboszlai.ย 

As a result, I think Forest are a live underdog for Saturdayโ€™s fixture. However, Iโ€™ll opt to take them in the first half rather than +1.25 for the full game.ย 

In their last five matches, Liverpool have earned an outright win only once (at Brentford).ย 

Even in two home fixtures against Burnley and Luton Town โ€“ sides with worse underlying metrics than Nottingham Forest โ€“ theyโ€™ve finished 0-1-1 (W-D-L) in the first half.ย 

Although Forest is a dismal 2-5 ATS as home underdogs at market close this season, theyโ€™ve proved quite good in the first half.ย 

In those seven games, theyโ€™re 5-2 ATS in the first half, including two straight covers against Arsenal and Manchester United.ย 

Plus, in a midweek FA Cup fixture against the Red Devils, they entered halftime tied 0-0 before losing in the 89th minute.ย 

The underlying metrics back up Forestโ€™s first half prowess as well โ€“ the Tricky Tress have posted a -0.28 post shot expected goal differential per 90 minutes, per fotmob.com.ย 

As a result, Iโ€™ll trust them to continue their positive form and enter halftime either ahead or tied with the league leaders.ย 

Liverpool Formย 

Feb. 28 vs. Southampton: 3-0, W (FA Cup)

Feb. 25 vs. Chelsea: 1-0, W (League Cup, AET)

Feb. 21 vs. Luton Town: 4-1, W

Feb. 17 at Brentford: 4-1, W

Feb. 10 vs. Burnley: 3-1, W

Nottingham Forest Form

Feb. 28 vs. Manchester United: 0-1, L (FA Cup)

Feb. 24 at Aston Villa: 2-4, Lย 

Feb. 17 vs. West Ham United: 2-0, W

Feb. 10 vs. Newcastle United: 2-3, L

Feb. 7 vs. Bristol City: 1-1, D (FA Cup, Forest Win on Penalties)

EPL Match Schedule This Weekend

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedManchester CitySep. 287:30 a.m.St. James' Park
ArsenalLeicester CitySep. 2810 a.m.Emirates Stadium
BrentfordWest Ham UnitedSep. 2810 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
ChelseaBrighton & Hove AlbionSep. 2810 a.m.Stamford Bridge
EvertonCrystal PalaceSep. 2810 a.m.Goodison Park
Nottingham ForestFulhamSep. 2810 a.m.The City Ground
WolvesLiverpoolSep. 2812:30 p.m.Molineux
Ipswich TownAston VillaSep. 299 a.m.Portman Road
Manchester UnitedTottenhamSep. 2911:30 a.m.Old Trafford
BournemouthSouthamptonSep. 303 p.m. Vitality Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Manchester City4-1-0138
Liverpool4-0-1129
Aston Villa4-0-1123
Arsenal3-2-0115
Chelsea3-1-1106
Newcastle United3-1-1101
Brighton & Hove Albion2-3-094
Nottingham Forest2-3-092
Fulham2-2-182
Tottenham Hotspur2-1-274
Manchester United2-1-270
Brentford2-0-36-2
Bournemouth1-2-25-3
West Ham United1-1-34-4
Leicester City0-3-23-2
Crystal Palace0-3-23-3
Ipswich Town0-3-23-5
Southampton0-1-41-7
Everton0-1-41-9
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-41-9

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Aston Villa4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Brentford3-2-0.6002-0-01.0001-2-0.333
Brighton & Hove Albion3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Chelsea3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Crystal Palace2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Everton1-4-0.2000-2-0.0001-2-0.333
Fulham2-3-0.4002-1-0.6670-2-0.000
Ipswich Town3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Leicester City2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Liverpool4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Manchester City3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Manchester United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Newcastle United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Nottingham Forest3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Southampton1-4-0.2000-3-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur2-3-0.4002-1-0.5000-2-0.000
West Ham United2-3-0.4000-3-0.0002-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-3-0.4000-2-0.0002-1-0.667

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.