Serena Williams’ Odds to Win Wimbledon In 2026

The 139th edition of the Wimbledon Championships begins next week, and there’s already one major storyline that’s dominating the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club.

Tennis legend Serena Williams is making her return to Wimbledon.

As a 44-year-old who gave birth to her second daughter in 2023, the seven-time Wimbledon singles champion was thought to be permanently retired. But after training and getting back into shape over the last few years, Williams is ready to make at least one more run at a Grand Slam singles title.

She’s also playing doubles with Victoria Mboko.

Williams currently has 23 Slam wins as a singles player, which puts her at third on the list of most Grand Slam tennis championships – just one championship behind Novak Djokovic and Margaret Court.

That means the stakes for Williams are quite high at Wimbledon this year. Needing only one more singles championship to tie Court and keep pace with Djokovic, Williams seems to have strategically chosen her best event to make a comeback for.

The Wimbledon odds market is taking her semi-seriously.

Serena Williams’ Odds to Win Wimbledon 2026

The WTA singles draw doesn’t have an overwhelming favorite like the men’s side does – Jannik Sinner’s odds to win Wimbledon are around -200 this week – but it does have five players who are all +650 or shorter.

Williams isn’t in this group. Instead, she’s in the next big bowl of contenders. There are 15 players currently priced between 10-to-1 and 30-to-1, and that’s where she is. As of June 23, she’s +2800 at BetMGM.

Other players in this group include Americans like Amanda Anisimova () and Madison Keys (), former US Open champ Emma Raducanu (), and former No. 1 Naomi Osaka ().

Many of the players in this big group are what I would call flawed names. They are players who are known as big-time tour contenders at one point or another, but there are real reasons to be skeptical that they could make a deep run at Wimbledon.

Qinwen Zhang, for example, carries the same 28-to-1 price as Williams. She’s a former top five tour player, but she’s played fewer than 40 WTA matches since the start of 2025. She’s also not much of a grass player, carrying a career 44% win rate on the surface.

At +1600, Linda Noskova is an interesting candidate. The 21-year-old Czech is good on grass and currently No. 10 in the WTA, fresh off a singles title at the Berlin Ladies Open. But does that mean she’s ready for primetime at Wimbledon? She’s only been past the fourth round in one Slam draw, and that was 2.5 years ago, at the 2024 Australian Open.

This is the group that Williams falls into – the wild cards. Yes, that’s a literal description, since she was invited into the draw on a wild-card berth. But for now, she’s also a boom-or-bust betting target.

Williams is a stellar athlete who could defy her age, like other great athletes of this era, and make an impressive run toward an eighth Wimbledon championship. She could also look like a 44-year-old who has a 3-year-old daughter. Until we see her on the grass next week, it’ll be hard to know where she falls on that continuum.

For now, bettors are mostly laying off. But that could just as easily be the product of an unusually crowded sports calendar that includes World Cup games and a crazy Knicks championship. If Williams decks her first-round opponent at Wimbledon next week, look out because her odds will shorten up in a hurry.