- The UT San Antonio Roadrunners are a -6.5 point favorite vs. the Navy Midshipmen
- Navy vs. UTSA Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Navy (2-3) visit Alamodome to take on UTSA (5-1) on Oct. 17 in San Antonio, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The UT San Antonio Roadrunners are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-125).
The Navy vs. UTSA Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
Bet now on UT San Antonio Roadrunners vs Navy Midshipmen & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Navy vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Navy | +6.5 -105 | 56.5 -125 | +210 |
| UTSA | -6.5 -125 | 56.5 -108 | -250 |
Navy vs UTSA Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 63.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Navy Midshipmen and the UT San Antonio Roadrunners, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Navy vs UTSA Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 60.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on UT San Antonio Roadrunners vs Navy Midshipmen and all games with BetMGM
Navy Best Bets Today
- Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
UTSA Best Bets Today
- UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy Midshipmen is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.28 Units / -60.74% ROI).
- Navy is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -63.57% ROI
- Navy is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.63% ROI
- Navy is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.33 Units / -24.05% ROI
UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UT San Antonio Roadrunners is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.61% ROI).
- UTSA is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 6.68% ROI
- UTSA is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.56% ROI
- UTSA is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.32 Units / -4.83% ROI
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA
Navy was 10-1 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
Navy was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Navy is 11-2 (.846) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .558
Navy is 8-3 (.727) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .384
UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
UTSA is 9-6 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .396
UTSA is 9-1 (.900) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .683
UTSA is 10-5 (.667) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Matchup Notes for Navy vs. UTSA
UTSA’s WRs has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s TEs has 175 receptions in 32 games (5.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. Navy’s defense has allowed just 2.2 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Navy’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 15.4% of 182 attempts last season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts last season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s WRs gained 265 yards on 13 receptions (20.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s WRs gained 265 yards on 13 receptions (20.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. UTSA’s defense allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy have averaged just 5.8 receptions per game (29/5) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.0
Navy have averaged just 7.5 receptions per game (135/18) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.1
Navy WRs have averaged 31.2 yards per reception (250 yards/8 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Navy WRs have been targeted 4.2 times per game (21/5) this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.1
Navy TEs have averaged 25.1 yards per reception (226 yards/9 catches) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends
UTSA have thrown 11 TDs and just one interception in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.7
UTSA have one interception on 128 attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 32.8
UTSA have thrown 0 TDs on 27 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 17.7
UTSA TEs were targeted 27 times with 4-6 yards to go last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
UTSA TEs averaged 3.5 receptions per game (45/13) in the 2nd half last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 1.7
Navy Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy has not forced a fumble (185 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 46.6
The Navy defense has allowed scores on 6% of opponent drives (1/17) in the 4th quarter this season– best in FBS; Average: 24%
Navy has not forced a fumble (185 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 46.1
The Navy defense has not allowed scores on any opponent drives (15 drives) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 21%
Navy has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 6 of 120 attempts (5%) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%
UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
UTSA has not recorded a sack (24 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.5
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
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