- The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are a -15 point favorite vs. the Sam Houston State Bearkats
- Sam Houston State vs. Jacksonville State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
Sam Houston State (1-7) visit AmFirst Stadium to take on Jacksonville State (6-2) on Nov. 7 in Jacksonville, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -15 (-135).
The Sam Houston State vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Sam Houston State vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Sam Houston State | +15 +100 | 47.5 -105 | +600 |
| Jacksonville State | -15 -135 | 47.5 -125 | -800 |
Sam Houston State vs Jacksonville State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 79.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Sam Houston State Bearkats and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Sam Houston State vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 68.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Sam Houston State Bearkats and all games with BetMGM
Sam Houston State Best Bets Today
- Sam Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Sam Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Jacksonville State Best Bets Today
- Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.74 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Sam Houston State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sam Houston State Bearkats is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Sam Houston State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Sam Houston State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Sam Houston State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jacksonville State Gamecocks is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 9.2% ROI).
- Jacksonville State is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 13.37% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.43% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -28.81% ROI
Sam Houston State: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State
Sam Houston is 1-8 (.111) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .631
Sam Houston is winless (0-15) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .539
Sam Houston is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .412
Sam Houston is winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .467
Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Sam Houston State
Jacksonville State is 15-6 (.682) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .543
Jacksonville State is 4-1 (.800) when not losing a fumble this season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .511
Jacksonville State is 12-5 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Jacksonville State is 9-1 (.818) when not throwing an interception since the 2024 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .649
Matchup Notes for Sam Houston State vs. Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State’s QBs threw for 2,245 passing yards in 14 games (just 160.4 YPG) last season — 17th-worst among FBS teams. Sam Houston’s defense allowed 275.9 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Jacksonville State’s offense threw for 2,268 passing yards in 14 games (just 162.0 YPG) last season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Sam Houston’s defense allowed 275.9 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s offense threw for 2,268 passing yards in 14 games (just 162.0 YPG) last season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Sam Houston’s defense allowed 275.9 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Sam Houston’s RBs had 37.4 receiving yards per game last season — 19th-best among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 38.7 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Sam Houston State Offensive Stats & Trends
Sam Houston TEs had no touchdowns on 15 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6
Sam Houston have thrown one TD on 70 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.6
Sam Houston threw 0 TDs on 35 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 21.8
Sam Houston had no touchdowns on 20 receptions last week– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 13.4
Sam Houston TEs have no touchdowns on 30 receptions since the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1
Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State have thrown 8 TDs on 61 pass attempts (one TD every 7.6 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7
Jacksonville State have thrown 0 TDs on 45 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.7
Jacksonville State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.0 receptions (32 Rec/8 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Jacksonville State threw 3 TDs on 37 pass attempts (one TD every 12.3 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7
Jacksonville State Skill Players averaged 17.6 yards per reception (597 yards/34 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Sam Houston State Defensive Stats & Trends
Sam Houston has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 53 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Sam Houston opponents averaged 13.5 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Sam Houston has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 19 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%.
Sam Houston allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (24 completions/61 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in FBS; Average: 55%
Sam Houston allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (24 completions/61 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Jacksonville State Defensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State allowed just 3.6 yards per completion (25 yards/7 completions) last week– best in FBS; Average: 11.6
Jacksonville State allowed just 3.6 yards per completion (25 yards/7 completions) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4
The Jacksonville State defense did not allow scores on any opponent drives (11 drives) last week– T-best in FBS; Average: 24%
Jacksonville State allowed 14 TDs in close and late situations last season– most in FBS
Jacksonville State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 36 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%.
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