San Jose State vs UTEP Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

UTEP Football Fans
(AP Photo)
Odds Boost This Weekend
  • The San Jose State Spartans are a -9.5 point favorite vs. the UTEP Miners
  • San Jose State vs. UTEP Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: MW+

San Jose State (3-3) visit Sun Bowl to take on UTEP (1-5) on Oct. 17 in El Paso, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm.

The San Jose State Spartans are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (+105).

The San Jose State vs. UTEP Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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San Jose State vs. UTEP Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose State-9.5 +10552.5 -235-295
UTEP +9.5 -14052.5 +170+240

San Jose State vs UTEP Prediction:

The winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 64.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the San Jose State Spartans and the UTEP Miners, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

San Jose State vs UTEP Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • San José State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)

San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose State Spartans is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • San Jose State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • San Jose State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • San Jose State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTEP Miners is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • UTEP is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -5.26% ROI
  • UTEP is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • UTEP is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP

San Jose State is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .396

San Jose State is winless (0-4) when passing for less than 200 yards since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .427

San Jose State was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442

San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State

UTEP is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .491

UTEP is 1-8 (.111) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

UTEP was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

UTEP is winless (0-9) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .493

Matchup Notes for San Jose State vs. UTEP

UTEP’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense allowed 12.9 RAC last season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense allowed 9.2 RAC to RBs last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s QBs has thrown for 5,737 passing yards in 30 games (just 191.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 237.9 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State’s WRs averaged 32.2 targets per game last season — 3rd-highest among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State’s RBs averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch last season — 6th-worst among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense allowed 8.6 RAC to RBs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State’s WRs had 219 receptions in 12 games (18.2 per game) last season — T-4th-best among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State WRs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

San Jose State RBs have rushed for one TD on 144 carries this season– 2nd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.8

San Jose State WRs were targeted 33.2 times per game (431/13) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

San Jose State had no touchdowns on 26 receptions last week– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.2

San Jose State Skill Players had no touchdowns on 26 receptions last week– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends

UTEP have been sacked on 20% of pass attempts (25/123) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

UTEP RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 26 carries (13 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

UTEP RBs have averaged just 1.4 Yards per Carry (28 yards/20 carries) in close and late situations since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

UTEP have been sacked 25 times this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.8

UTEP RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (551 yards / 151 touches) on 1st down since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State sacked opponents 6 times last week– T-most in FBS

San Jose State did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 22 carries on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

San Jose State did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 22 carries on 3rd and long last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 18%

San Jose State averaged 1.62 interceptions per game (21/13) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 0.85

San Jose State averaged 1.62 interceptions per game (21/13) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.79

UTEP Defensive Stats & Trends

UTEP has sacked opposing QBs just once on 77 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.9

UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 47 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

UTEP has not recorded a sack (23 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.5

UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.


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