Tulane vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

Kansas State quarterback Avery Johnson (5) runs the ball during the first half of an NCAA college football game against TCU Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023, in Manhattan, Kan. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • The Kansas State Wildcats are a -20.5 point favorite vs. the Tulane Green Wave
  • Tulane vs. Kansas State Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

Tulane (1-1) visit Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on Kansas State (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Manhattan, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Kansas State Wildcats are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).

The Tulane vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

Bet now on Kansas State Wildcats vs Tulane Green Wave & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Tulane vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tulane+20.5 -10849.5 -108+950
Kansas State -20.5 -11049.5 -110-1400

Tulane vs Kansas State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Tulane Green Wave and the Kansas State Wildcats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulane vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 64.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Kansas State Wildcats vs Tulane Green Wave and all games with BetMGM


  • Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+8.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane Green Wave is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Tulane is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Tulane is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Tulane is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas State Wildcats is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Kansas State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 10.53% ROI
  • Kansas State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Kansas State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

Tulane was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Tulane was 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

Tulane was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Tulane was 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Kansas State was 4-1 (.800) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631

Kansas State was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. Kansas State

Kansas State had just 199.0 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Tulane’s defense allowed 261.6 receiving yards per game last season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas State had 203 receptions in 12 games (just 16.9 per game) last season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Tulane’s defense allowed 23.1 receptions per game last season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Kansas State’s WRs had 114 receptions in 12 games (just 9.5 per game) last season — 26th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense allowed 23.1 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s WRs has 231 receptions in 16 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Tulane’s WRs had 206.0 receiving yards per game last season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense allowed 222.4 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Tulane’s WRs has 231 receptions in 16 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane RBs averaged 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (220 yards / 21 touches) last week– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Tulane RBs averaged 10.5 Yards per Carry (220 yards/21 carries) last week– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Tulane QBs rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Tulane’s WRs has 231 receptions in 16 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Tulane’s WRs had 206.0 receiving yards per game last season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense allowed 222.4 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Kansas State RBs averaged 7.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,404 yards / 188 touches) on 1st down last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kansas State WRs averaged a touchdown every 1.0 receptions (2 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.2

Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas State WRs had 4 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among Big 12 Teams

Tulane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs last season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Tulane’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs last season– highest in FBS; Average: 8%

Tulane allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (16 completions/38 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Tulane defense allowed 31 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– most in FBS

Tulane defense allowed 54 completions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most in FBS

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone last season– most in the Big 12

Kansas State had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 26.8

Kansas State sacked opposing QBs on 20% of pass attempts (4/20) last week– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Kansas State sacked opponents 35 times last season– 2nd-most in the Big 12

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9


Bet now on Kansas State Wildcats vs Tulane Green Wave and all games with BetMGM


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