• The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RSN | TVA

The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+100) on June 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 34-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 29-38 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 3-3, 2.91 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Payton Tolle 3-3, 2.74 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Valenzuela has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+18.30 Units / 261% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• Brandon Valenzuela has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.90 Units / 347% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games (+3.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.70 Units / 5% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 35-36 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -4.17% ROI).

• 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -12.24% ROI
• 36-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.06% ROI
• 33-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -8.18% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 29-38 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -10.13% ROI).

• 29-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.25 Units / -22.81% ROI
• 32-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -7.32% ROI
• 34-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -2.04% ROI

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Blue Jays are just 6-15 (.286) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Red Sox (ninth in runs allowed).

The Blue Jays are 20-79 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Blue Jays are 17-82 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Red Sox are just 2-22 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Red Sox are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 5-19 (.208) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .470 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .186 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .484 in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .486 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .189 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,722 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 123 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 42 double plays in 522 opportunities (8%) this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.88 runs per game (61/69) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 36 double plays in 483 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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