Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

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  • The Red Sox are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | TVA | RSN1

The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-125) on June 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 35-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 29-39 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-4, 10.56 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Jake Bennett 1-2, 5.29 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -185O 9.5 -115+105
Red Sox -1.5 +150U 9.5 -105-125

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Valenzuela has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+18.30 Units / 261% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.95 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Max Scherzer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brandon Valenzuela has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+15.00 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+14.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+7.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games (+2.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 36-36 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -2.64% ROI).

  • 35-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -11.02% ROI
  • 36-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -1.44% ROI
  • 34-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -6.83% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 29-39 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -11.82% ROI).

  • 29-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.25 Units / -23.71% ROI
  • 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -8.64% ROI
  • 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.71% ROI

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Willson Contreras +310
Wilyer Abreu +333
Kazuma Okamoto +350
George Springer +390
Marcelo Mayer +425

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Willson Contreras 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Kazuma Okamoto 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jarren Duran 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kazuma Okamoto 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jarren Duran 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Carlos Narvaez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Blue Jays are just 6-15 (.286) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Red Sox (ninth in runs allowed).

The Blue Jays are 17-82 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Blue Jays are 20-79 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 12-22 (.353) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Red Sox are just 2-22 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Red Sox are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 47% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .266 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .684 (1,981 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .187 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .691 (1,280 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (1,745 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (1,745 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 36 double plays in 488 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.90 runs per game (63/70) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.