Brewers vs. Padres Prediction: Game 3 NLDS Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers lead 2-0 over the San Diego Padres entering Game 3 of the NLDS at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday in San Diego on FS1. The Padres are betting favorites to keep their season alive.

Check out my Brewers vs. Padres prediction based on the latest MLB odds:

Brewers vs. Padres Prediction for Game 3 NLDS

• Padres moneyline

I like the Padres’ chances of staving off elimination with a Game 3 win on Tuesday. Honestly, San Diego is unlucky to be down 2-0 in this series.

Both games have come down to the wire, quite literally in Game 1. In the opener, Ty France’s potential go-ahead home run hit the roof cable in the ninth inning of a 3-2 loss. In Game 2, Jackson Chourio delivered a walk-off single off Mason Miller, MLB’s best closer, to win 4-3.

The Brewers enter Tuesday’s Game 3 with a chance to punch their ticket to the NLCS, while the Padres hope to keep their season alive for at least one more night. In all best-of-five postseason series, teams with a 2-0 lead have gone on to win the series 83 of 93 times (89%).

But I think a return to San Diego could be just what the Padres need to regain their momentum. They have one of the best fan bases in the sport and will benefit from a raucous crowd. San Diego went 51-30 at Petco Park in the regular season, ranking fourth in the majors in home wins.

In addition, the Padres’ bullpen should be rested after getting a day off. Adrian Morejón couldn’t pitch in Game 2 after throwing two innings in the opener. That forced Miller to pitch the final two innings on Sunday.

If San Diego can strike first, a rested group of relievers could help shut the door. An early lead is possible against Brewers starter Dusin May, who posted a 4.70 ERA in 31 regular-season starts. He gave up seven runs across 7 1/3 innings over his last three outings.

Prediction: Padres moneyline

Brewers vs. Padres Odds: NLDS, Game 3

• Brewers moneyline: +115
• Padres moneyline: -135
• Total: 7.5