Here are today’s home run predictions based on the latest MLB odds:
Home Run Predictions Today: Tuesday, April 14
- Baltimore Orioles SS Gunnar Henderson vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Who Will Hit a Home Run Today?
I’m predicting Baltimore Orioles shortstop Gunnar Henderson will hit a home run on Tuesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Henderson’s power has returned this season. He has hit six home runs through 16 games after clubbing 17 in 154 contests last year. In 2024, Henderson finished fourth in MVP voting with 37 homers in 159 games.
All signs point toward Henderson being more like the 2024 version of himself so far this spring. His barrel rate (13%) and hard-hit rate (50%) rank in the 79th percentile. Henderson remains my favorite value in the AL MVP odds market.
For tonight’s matchup against the Diamondbacks, the weather in Baltimore looks promising. The temperature will be in the mid-80s with winds of 11 miles per hour blowing out.
In addition, Merrill Kelly will be making his first start of the season after coming off the injured list. His average exit velocity (92 miles per hour) ranked in the 16th percentile last year, so he could give up some hard hits.
Henderson is my favorite target in Tuesday’s home run market.
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