• The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Marlins / Yankees TV Channel: MATV | YES | WFOR

The Miami Marlins (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on April 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are ATS.

Marlins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 0-0, 3.86 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 0-0, 2.08 ERA

Marlins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Agustin Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.90 Units / 86% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
• Eury Perez has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Aaron Judge has hit the Walks Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 60% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.60 Units / 41% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+23.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 87 games (+20.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 75 away games (+15.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 63 away games (+12.79 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 63 away games (+8.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+21.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+12.12 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games (+9.65 Units / 17% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Marlins are just 21-75 (.219) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Marlins are 12-168 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .047.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Yankees were 29-23 (.558) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face Marlins (fifth in runs allowed).

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees were 56-37 (.602) after a win in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Yankees are 96-29 (.768) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .640.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Marlins are batting .298 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters do not have an extra-base hit out of 4 total hits on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .410 (123 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging .482 this season — best in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters slugged .457 against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters slugged .455 in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters slugged .458 on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have walked 4% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 33% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .231 (208 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .205 this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

The Yankees pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 1.01 (53.1 IP) this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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