The Denver Nuggets have won 50 or more games in three straight seasons, including a 50-32 overall record last year.
Per the preseason NBA betting odds, the Nuggets have a win total of 53.5 for the 2025-26 campaign in David Adelmanโs first full season as the head coach.
Nuggets Over/Under Wins 2025-26
- Over 53.5 wins: -125
- Under 53.5 wins: +105
Nuggets Win Total Prediction
- Over 53.5 wins
For the first time since 2014-15, the Nuggets failed to clear their preseason win total. They won 50 games, finishing below their win total of 51.5.
Denver ultimately made a change at head coach heading into the postseason, replacing Michael Malone with Adelman. The Nuggets closed the regular season with a 3-0 clip under Adelman before losing in seven games to the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference semifinals.
In the offseason, the Nuggets made a significant trade to land Cameron Johnson. They also added bench depth to help survive the 82-game regular season, which includes a trade for Jonas Valanฤiลซnas as the teamโs backup center.
Valanฤiลซnas, who averaged 10.4 points and 7.7 rebounds last year, can help support a Denver team that has struggled when Nikola Jokiฤ is off the floor. That could prove to be the difference in a few wins during the regular season.
The Nuggets have already demonstrated their ability to win a significant number of regular-season games, finishing 57-25 in the 2023-24 season to secure the No. 2 overall seed. That might be needed again to claim a high seed in a tough Western Conference.
I predict Denver will finish with about 55 wins this year.
Nuggets Win Total History
(Data from Sports Odds History)
| Year | Win Total | Actual Wins | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 51.5 | 50 | Under |
| 2023-24 | 52.5 | 57 | Over |
| 2022-23 | 51.5 | 53 | Over |
| 2021-22 | 47.5 | 48 | Over |
| 2020-21 | 44.5 | 47 | Over |
| 2019-20 | 53 | 46 | Void |
| 2018-19 | 47.5 | 54 | Over |
| 2017-18 | 45.5 | 46 | Over |
| 2016-17 | 37 | 40 | Over |
| 2015-16 | 27.5 | 33 | Over |
| 2014-15 | 42 | 30 | Under |
| 2013-14 | 46.5 | 36 | Under |
| 2012-13 | 49.5 | 57 | Over |
| 2011-12 | 36.5 | 38 | Over |
| 2010-11 | 43.5 | 50 | Over |
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