- I predict Breece Hall clears his longest receptions prop (13.5 yards).
- My prediction for R.J. Harvey’s over/under rushing yards prop (27.5 yards)
- J.K. Dobbins (-130) is predicted to score a touchdown against the Jets.
The NFL international series continues in Week 6 with Jets vs Broncos in London.
In addition to the pregame spread and total, bettors can now find NFL odds for player props at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Below, I’ve outlined a pair of player prop predictions for the international matchup. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.
Jets vs Broncos Prediction: Player Props
Breece Hall Longest Reception Over 13.5 Yards (-115)
Hall has proved a staple target for Justin Fields of late.
The back amassed at least five targets in three straight games. However, he has cleared this longest reception prop only twice: Weeks 1 and 5.
A matchup with the Broncos presents a favorable opportunity for Hall to succeed against this number.
Only five teams have allowed more receiving yards to running backs than Denver. Vance Joseph’s defense sits 31st in pass defense DVOA against running backs.
Through five games, opposing backs are averaging a longest reception of 30.6 yards. Four of five opposing running backs have cleared this number against Denver.
With the Jets facing a likely negative game script, I predict the Broncos’ weakness against the position continues in London.
R.J. Harvey Under 27.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
Harvey has taken a backseat role to J.K. Dobbins. He now faces a Jets rush defense that, outside of matchups against good teams, has performed okay.
New York allowed 224 rushing yards to Buffalo and 180 yards to Dallas. Those two teams carry an average rush offense DVOA rating of +9.65%, per ftnfantasy.com.
New York’s other three opponents averaged only 99.3 rushing yards per game. Of course, they average out a bit worse than Denver:
- Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay & Miami: -13.1% rush offense DVOA average
- Denver: -1.4% rush offense DVOA percentage
But Harvey, since Week 1, has taken on a bigger role in the passing game. Only once since his success against Tennessee has he cleared this rushing yards prop.
Save for a blowout win against the Bengals, Harvey received six or fewer attempts in the remaining four games.
Given those trends, I predict Harvey stays under this number for a second straight game.
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds: Jets vs Broncos
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