Bengals vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

• The Bengals are -3.5 point favorites vs the Steelers
• Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
• Watch this game on CBS

The Cincinnati Bengals (2-0-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1-0) on Sep. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Bengals vs. Steelers Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Bengals vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Bengals vs. Steelers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 53.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Bengals vs Steelers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today

• Tee Higgins has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Samaje Perine has hit the Longest Reception Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
• Samaje Perine has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
• Chase Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• Andrei Iosivas has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.15 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

• DK Metcalf has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• Aaron Rodgers has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.75 Units / 59% ROI)
• Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 39% ROI)
• Darnell Washington has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.15 Units / 77% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Bengals

Bengals Best Bets:

• The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.95 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.90 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)

Steelers Best Bets:

• The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+7.40 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 2-0 (+2 Units / 95.24% ROI).

• Bengals are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 76.27% ROI
• Bengals are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• BengalsBengalsBengals are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Steelers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• Steelers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
• Steelers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

Bengals are 4-1 (.800) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down (T-5th-best in NFL) and just .286 when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down since the 2025 season (T-10th-worst in NFL).

The Bengals are winless (0-9) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .158.

The Bengals are 1-4 (.200) when losing at least one fumble since the 2025 season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .347.

The Bengals are 1-4 (.200) when passing for less than 200 yards since the 2025 season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

Steelers are 3-8 (.273) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game (T-9th-worst in NFL) and 1.000 when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2025 season (best in NFL).

The Steelers are undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .557.

The Steelers were undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .542.

The Steelers are 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers scored on 8.3% of their drives last week — T-worst in NFL. The Bengals defense allowed scores on 14.3% of opponent drives last week — 5th-best in NFL.

The Steelers have thrown the ball 56.4% of the time since the 2025 season — 3rd-highest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 7.3 yards per dropback since the 2025 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

Steelers WRs have averaged 5.0 yards after the catch since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 5.1 yards after catch per reception to WRs since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have averaged just -0.12 epa per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed just -0.09 epa per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Bengals ran just 1.7% offensive plays in the red zone last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Steelers allowed their opponent to run just 5.9% of plays in the red zone last week — 5th-best in NFL.

The Bengals have rushed the ball on just 40.5% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since the 2025 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 10 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2025 season — T-4th-fewest in NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats

The Bengals have thrown the ball 60% of the time (706 Pass Attempts/1,179 plays) since the 2025 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Bengals have run the ball on 35% of plays (419 carries/1,179 plays) since the 2025 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Bengals ran the ball on 35% of plays (371 carries/1,057 plays) last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Bengals have averaged 0.25 epa per play against open coverage since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.39.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats

The Steelers have averaged -0.44 epa per play in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.

The Steelers have gone three and out on 36% of their drives this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Steelers have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Steelers have run the ball on 31% of plays (41 carries/131 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats

The Bengals defense have missed 181 tackles since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Bengals defense missed 171 tackles last season — most in NFL.

Offenses facing the Bengals targeted TEs 30% of the time (185 Pass Attempts/618 plays) since the 2025 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Bengals defense has allowed an average of 20.5 fantasy points per game to TEs since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13.2.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats

The Steelers defense allowed successful plays on 9% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 63.7 (44 Pass Attempts) this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 94.7.

The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 42.6 on motion plays (15 Pass Attempts) this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 100.1.

The Steelers defense has allowed 10 of 26 (39%) first downs through the air (39%) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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