Chiefs vs Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

• The Seahawks are -2 point favorites vs the Chiefs
• Total (Over/Under): 44 points
• Watch this game on NBC | PEAC

The Kansas City Chiefs (5-0-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (3-3-0) on Oct. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm in Seattle, WA.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-120).

The Chiefs vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

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Chiefs vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Chiefs vs. Seahawks Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 56.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Chiefs vs Seahawks Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today

• Kenneth Walker III has hit the Longest Rush Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Patrick Mahomes has hit the Interceptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
• Patrick Mahomes has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
• Brashard Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 94% ROI)
• Patrick Mahomes has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

• AJ Barner has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• AJ Barner has hit the Longest Reception Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• Elijah Arroyo has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.40 Units / 73% ROI)
• Rashid Shaheed has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.35 Units / 50% ROI)
• Emanuel Wilson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Seahawks vs Chiefs

Chiefs Best Bets:

• The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Team Total Under in their last 7 away games (+7.30 Units / 92% ROI)
• The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+1.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Seahawks Best Bets:

• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)

Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs are 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.68% ROI).

• Chiefs are 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 30.77% ROI
• Chiefs are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
• ChiefsChiefsChiefs are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -34.59% ROI).

• Seahawks are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -28.21% ROI
• Seahawks are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Seahawks are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

Chiefs are 3-7 (.300) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game (T-8th-worst in NFL) and .667 when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2025 season (T-8th-best in NFL).

The Chiefs are 5-0 (1.000) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-best in NFL. The Seahawks have turned the ball over 14 times this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

The Chiefs are undefeated (5-0) this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.

Chiefs are 11-2 (.846) when scoring 22 or more points (8th-best in NFL) and just .000 when scoring less than 22 points since the 2025 season (T-worst in NFL).

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs

The Seahawks are 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 defenses since the 2025 season They play the Patriots in Week 4 (Ranks fifth in total defense).

The Seahawks are 5-2 (.714) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2025 season They play the Patriots in Week 4 (Ranks ninth in rushing defense).

The Seahawks are 5-2 (.714) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .276.

The Seahawks are 15-5 (.750) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since the 2025 season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .579.

Additional Matchup Notes for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks have gone three and out on 11.5% of their drives this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Chiefs have forced three and outs on 15.1% of opponent drives this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have been successful on 60.5% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed a success rate of 58.2% on pass attempts on play action passes since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks scored on 21.4% of their drives last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chiefs defense allowed scores on 18.2% of opponent drives last week — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Chiefs are 5-0 (1.000) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-best in NFL. The Seahawks have turned the ball over 14 times this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

The Chiefs have thrown the ball 10 yards or less 76.6% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed just 5.3 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards this season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Chiefs have been successful on 70.6% of plays they have run with a stacked front this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed a success rate of 66.7% with a stacked front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats

The Chiefs have scored on 64% of their drives (7/11) in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Chiefs have converted late downs on 3 of 35 plays (9%) with over 10 yards to go this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 4%.

The Chiefs averaged 9.5 yards per play against tight coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 3.9.

The Chiefs have averaged 14.9 yards per play against a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.6.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks have averaged 10.2 yards per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

The Seahawks did not go three and out on any of their drives in Week 6 — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Seahawks have started 26 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — most in NFL.

The Seahawks have scored 5 TDs from their own territory since the 2025 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats

The Chiefs defense has allowed a fourth down conversion rate of 33% in short yardage situations since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 22% of plays in Week 6 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Chiefs defense has allowed an average of 20.4 fantasy points per game to WRs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32.2.

The Chiefs defense did not allow a TD pass in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-fewest in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense have allowed just 6.1 yards per play open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9.3.

The Seahawks defense has allowed 252.8 yards from scrimmage per game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 345.4.

The Seahawks defense has allowed successful plays on 46% of pass attempts open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Seahawks defense has stuffed 48% (20/42) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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