Rams vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

Las Vegas Raiders fans look on before an NFL football game between the Raiders and the Cleveland Browns Sunday, Sept. 29, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)
(AP Photo/David Becker)
Betting Promos This Weekend
  • The Rams are -6 point favorites vs the Raiders
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Los Angeles Rams (2-4-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (3-3-0) on Oct. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 pm in Paradise, NV.

The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (+105).

The Rams vs. Raiders Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rams-6 +10548.5 -130-210
Raiders +6 -14048.5 -102+175

Rams vs. Raiders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 66.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Rams vs Raiders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Kyren Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Kyren Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Puka Nacua has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Longest Rush Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jalen Nailor has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jalen Nailor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kirk Cousins has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+5.75 Units / 39% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Raiders vs Rams

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Kyren Williams -175
Puka Nacua -135
Ashton Jeanty -105
Brock Bowers +130
Blake Corum +175
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+3.76 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.10 Units / 24% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Rams are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -62.6% ROI
  • Rams are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • RamsRamsRams are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 5-1 (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).

  • Raiders are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 33.08% ROI
  • Raiders are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Raiders are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

Rams are 13-5 (.722) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush (8th-best in NFL) and just .200 when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2025 season (T-6th-worst in NFL).

The Rams are 2-4 (.333) this season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Rams are 13-5 (.722) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2025 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .527.

The Rams are 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .554.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Raiders are winless (0-5) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .329.

The Raiders are 3-9 (.250) at home since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .531.

The Raiders are 1-4 (.200) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Raiders are 6-17 (.261) since the 2025 season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders have averaged just -0.79 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed just -0.65 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Raiders scored on 60% of their drives last week — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Rams defense allowed scores on 60% of opponent drives last week — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

The Raiders have been successful on just 31.5% of rush attempts with motion since the 2025 season — worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed a success rate of just 36.1% on rush attempts against motion since the 2025 season — best in NFL.

The Rams were successful on 50.0% of rush attempts last week — T-4th-best in NFL. The Raiders allowed a success rate of 50.0% on rush attempts last week — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Rams have been successful on 50.6% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed a success rate of 50.5% on pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Rams have been successful on 52.6% of pass attempts with motion since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed a success rate of 53.0% on pass attempts against motion since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams have run successful plays on 19% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Rams have run successful plays on 53% of plays in the 4th quarter since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Rams have run successful plays on 59% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Rams have run successful plays on 50% of plays since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders have run successful plays on 34% of rush attempts since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders ran successful plays on 78% of plays in the 1st quarter in Week 6 — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense has allowed successful plays on 14% of plays on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Rams defense has not allowed a third down conversion on third and 10+ yards to go this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Rams defense have allowed -0.26 epa per play with a light front since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.

The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 when they have pressured the QB (27 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50.5.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense has forced 14 fumbles this season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense allowed 12 TD passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-most in NFL.

The Raiders defense allowed 10 touchdown receptions in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense allowed 0.79 epa per play first read passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.24.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.