Eagles vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

• The Eagles are -4 point favorites vs the Bears
• Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
• Watch this game on ESPN | ABC

The Philadelphia Eagles (2-0-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (1-1-0) on Sep. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm in Chicago, IL.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (+105).

The Eagles vs. Bears Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Eagles vs. Bears Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 51.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Eagles vs Bears Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 50.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

• Jalen Hurts has hit the Carries Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.85 Units / 68% ROI)
• Jake Elliott has hit the Field Goals Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 42% ROI)
• Dallas Goedert has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Elijah Moore has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 81% ROI)
• Jalen Hurts has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Caleb Williams has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
• Rome Odunze has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Kalif Raymond has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.25 Units / 65% ROI)
• D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• Colston Loveland has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.40 Units / 33% ROI)

Bears Best Bets:

• The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.80 Units / 33% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

• Eagles are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 34.19% ROI
• Eagles are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
• EaglesEaglesEagles are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Bears are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -29.73% ROI
• Bears are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Bears are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Eagles are 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2025 season — T-6th-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 133.5 rushing yards per game since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles are 1-4 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — T-10th-worst in NFL. The Bears have intercepted 24 passes since the 2025 season — T-most in NFL.

The Eagles are 3-2 (.600) when not forcing a turnover since the 2025 season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .267.

The Eagles were winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .341.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Bears are undefeated (10-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .649.

The Bears are undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .703.

The Bears are 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2025 season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.

The Bears are 7-1 (.875) when not committing any turnovers since the 2025 season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .729.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Chicago Bears

The Bears have run 20.7% offensive plays in the red zone this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed their opponent to run 24.6% of plays in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Bears have 6 rushing touchdowns this season — most in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 3 rushing TDs this season — T-4th-most in NFL.

Bears RBs have gained 9.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 9.8 Yards Per Reception to RBs since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have been successful on just 22.2% of pass attempts with motion this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Bears have pressured opposing QBs on 58.8% of pass attempts against motion this season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Eagles are 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2025 season — T-6th-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 133.5 rushing yards per game since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles are 1-4 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — T-10th-worst in NFL. The Bears have intercepted 24 passes since the 2025 season — T-most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles have gone three and out 5 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Eagles averaged 9.9 yards per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

The Eagles averaged 5.7 yards per play against tight coverage last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 3.1.

The Eagles have run 9% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats

The Bears have 4 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — T-most in NFL.

The Bears have rushed for 20+ yards 4 times this season — T-most in NFL.

The Bears have rushed for 6 TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Bears have started 7 drives inside their own 10 yard line since the 2025 season — fewest in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of just 64.6 in the red zone (56 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.6.

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of pass attempts from their own territory this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Eagles’ opponents have averaged 37.4 Passing Attempts per TD (598 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) since the 2025 season — best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 21.3.

The Eagles defense has allowed 16 of 39 (41%) TDs through the air since the 2025 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats

The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 69% of plays open coverage since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Bears defense has hurried opposing QBs on 34% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Bears defense has allowed 14.8 yards after the catch (89 RAC / 6 receptions) to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.9.

The Bears defense has averaged 1.3 interceptions per game (24/19) since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.7.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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