Rams vs Broncos Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

• The Rams are -2.5 point favorites vs the Broncos
• Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
• Watch this game on NBC | PEAC

The Los Angeles Rams (1-1-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (1-1-0) on Sep. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm in Denver, CO.

The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-112).

The Rams vs. Broncos Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Rams vs. Broncos Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 50.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Rams vs Broncos Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

• Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 48% ROI)
• Puka Nacua has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 53% ROI)
• Davis Allen has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 65% ROI)
• Kyren Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
• Matthew Stafford has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today

• RJ Harvey has hit the Longest Rush Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 55% ROI)
• RJ Harvey has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• J.K. Dobbins has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Bo Nix has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• Pat Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)

Rams Best Bets:

• The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+4.91 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Broncos Best Bets:

• The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+5.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Denver Broncos have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Rams are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -19.59% ROI
• Rams are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
• RamsRamsRams are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI).

• Broncos are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• Broncos are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
• Broncos are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Rams are winless (0-4) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .158.

The Rams are undefeated (3-0) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Rams are 10-2 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2025 season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .660.

The Rams are 5-1 (.833) after a loss since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .419.

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Broncos are 6-2 (.750) when not forcing a turnover since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .267.

The Broncos are undefeated (10-0) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .648.

The Broncos were undefeated (8-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .508.

The Broncos are 12-2 (.857) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .583.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Denver Broncos

The Broncos have an average drive start position from the 27.3 yard line since the 2025 season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed an average drive start position from the 26.2 yard line since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL.

The Rams are averaging 5.6 yards per carry this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 5.4 yards per carry this season — 4th-worst in NFL.

Rams RBs have just 19.5 receiving yards per game since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Broncos have averaged just 22.2 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Rams have gone three and out on 0% of their drives in the second half this season — T-best in NFL. The Broncos have forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives in the second half this season — T-worst in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams have thrown for 50 TDs since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Rams ran successful plays on 53% of plays on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Rams threw for 46 TDs last season — most in NFL.

The Rams threw for 4 TDs in Week 2 — T-most in NFL.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats

The Broncos have started 67 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Broncos started 59 drives inside their own 20 yard line last season — most in NFL.

The Broncos have averaged just 4.1 yards per play on motion plays this season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

The Broncos have run successful plays on 0% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 66 carries (11 Carries Per TD) in the red zone since the 2025 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Rams defense has allowed successful plays on 27% of rush attempts against play action passes since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Rams defense have allowed -0.88 epa per play against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.

The Rams defense has allowed an average of 1.3 yards after contact per carry (482 carries) since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats

The Broncos defense have missed 24 tackles this season — most in NFL.

The Broncos defense has allowed an average of 2.9 yards after contact per carry (59 carries) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.1.

The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 30% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Broncos defense has averaged 3.8 sacks per game since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2.4.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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