Ravens vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

A young fan sands atop a vehicle holding a Dallas Cowboys flag outside Sofi Stadium before a preseason NFL football game between the Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Rams, Sunday, Aug. 11, 2024, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
(AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
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  • The Ravens are -3 point favorites vs the Cowboys
  • Total (Over/Under): 52 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Baltimore Ravens (1-1-0) visit Maracana Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (1-1-0) on Sep. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 pm in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Ravens vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 52 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ravens-3 -11052 -108-165
Cowboys +3 -10852 -120+135

Ravens vs. Cowboys Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 50.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Ravens vs Cowboys Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in his last 7 away games (+7.10 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Zay Flowers has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.25 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jake Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • CeeDee Lamb has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Carries Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Ravens

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Derrick Henry -200
Javonte Williams -145
CeeDee Lamb +115
Mark Andrews +125
George Pickens +135
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Ravens are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -54.05% ROI
  • Ravens are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • RavensRavensRavens are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -18.42% ROI
  • Cowboys are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Cowboys are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

Ravens are 6-3 (.667) on the road (T-5th-best in NFL) and just .300 at home since the 2025 season (T-5th-worst in NFL).

Ravens are 3-7 (.300) at home (T-5th-worst in NFL) and .667 on the road since the 2025 season (T-5th-best in NFL).

The Ravens are winless (0-3) when allowing more than 50% of third down conversions opportunities since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .297.

The Ravens are 1-6 (.143) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Cowboys were 1-5 (.167) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.

The Cowboys are undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 22 points since the 2025 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .777.

The Cowboys are 2-7 (.222) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2025 season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.

The Cowboys were 1-7-1 (.111) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .489.

Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have run 17.4% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2025 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed their opponent to run 17.1% of plays in the red zone since the 2025 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys have thrown for 5,189 passing yards in 19 games (273.1 YPG) since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 241.9 passing yards per game since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys have scored on 100% of their drives in the second half this season — best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives in the second half this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Ravens have been successful on 55.4% of pass attempts this season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed a success rate of 57.8% on pass attempts this season — worst in NFL.

The Ravens have been successful on 63.0% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed a success rate of 57.0% on pass attempts on play action passes since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Ravens have been successful on 62.5% of rush attempts this season — best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed a success rate of 56.1% on rush attempts this season — 4th-worst in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens have averaged 12.2 yards per play against a base rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.8.

The Ravens threw the ball 43% of the time (422 Pass Attempts/974 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Ravens have thrown the ball 44% of the time (478 Pass Attempts/1,094 plays) since the 2025 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 27 times since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of 68% this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Cowboys have started 8 drives inside opposing territory since the 2025 season — fewest in NFL.

The Cowboys have scored on 100% of their drives (6/6) in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of 78% in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Ravens defense has allowed a passer rating of just 65.4 open coverage (15 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 128.0.

Offenses facing the Ravens targeted TEs 18% of the time (122 Pass Attempts/690 plays) since the 2025 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

21% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Ravens defense has allowed a late down conversion rate of 15% when opponents had 7-10 yards to go this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys defense allowed scores on 59% of opponent drives (25/42) in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed first downs on 50% of plays on 3rd down since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Cowboys defense allowed 0.21 epa per play in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.

The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 57% in the 1st half since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.