- The Saints are +1.5 point favorites vs the Giants
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The New Orleans Saints (1-4-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (3-1-1) on Oct. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Saints are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at +1.5 (-135).
The Saints vs. Giants Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Saints | +1.5 -135 | 45.5 -108 | -115 |
| Giants | -1.5 +100 | 45.5 -110 | -102 |
Saints vs. Giants Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Giants will win this game with 53.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Saints vs Giants Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
- Daniel Carlson has hit the Field Goals Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tyler Shough has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tyler Shough has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Chris Olave has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Completions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.57 Units / 30% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Giants vs Saints
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Cam Skattebo | +500 |
| Kendre Miller | +825 |
| Chris Olave | +850 |
| Malik Nabers | +900 |
| Alvin Kamara | +950 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Giants vs Saints
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Cam Skattebo | -111 |
| Chris Olave | +145 |
| Kendre Miller | +150 |
| Alvin Kamara | +150 |
| Malik Nabers | +165 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Giants vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 77.5 -115 | 77.5 -115 |
| Malik Nabers | 69.5 -115 | 69.5 -115 |
| Isaiah Likely | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -115 |
| Devaughn Vele | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -115 |
| Juwan Johnson | 39.5 -115 | 39.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Giants vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Skattebo | 56.5 -115 | 56.5 -115 |
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+10.78 Units / 117% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+7.55 Units / 82% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 16 games (+12.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Saints are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -30.33% ROI
- Saints are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- SaintsSaintsSaints are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
- Giants are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 49.07% ROI
- Giants are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Giants are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Saints are 2-11 (.154) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Saints are winless (0-5) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.
The Saints are 2-10 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2025 season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.
The Saints are 2-11 (.154) when losing at least one fumble since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .360.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Giants are 1-9-1 (.091) on the road since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .460.
The Giants are 1-10-1 (.083) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Giants are 3-12-1 (.188) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2025 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
The Giants are winless (0-12-1) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .161.
Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. New York Giants
The Giants have run 55.1% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Saints have allowed their opponents to run 56.0% of plays in their territory this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Giants TEs have averaged 11.4 targets per game this season — 3rd-highest in NFL. The Saints have allowed 7.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-4th-highest in NFL.
The Giants have averaged 0.51 epa per play with a light rush since the 2025 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Saints have allowed 0.60 epa per play with a light rush since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Saints RBs have averaged 8.0 targets per game this season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Giants have allowed just 3.4 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-4th-lowest in NFL.
The Saints have a third down conversion rate of 45.7% in the second half this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 56.0% in the second half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Saints have gone three and out on 36% of their drives in the first half this season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Giants have forced three and outs on 40.6% of opponent drives in the first half this season — best in NFL.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints have gone three and out 23 times in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — most in NFL.
The Saints have scored on 13% of their drives (8/60) in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Saints have converted late downs on 22 of 87 plays (25%) in short yardage situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Saints have gone three and out on 38% of their drives in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
New York Giants Offense: Important Stats
The Giants have turned the ball over on downs 10 times in the red zone since the 2025 season — most in NFL.
The Giants have run successful plays on 26% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Giants ran 83 plays in Week 5 — most in NFL.
The Giants have run successful plays on 37% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Saints defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 46% with tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Saints defense forced 4 fumbles in Week 5 — T-most in NFL.
The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 80% of plays first read passes in Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
New York Giants Defense: Important Stats
The Giants defense allowed successful plays on 83% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Offenses facing the Giants targeted RBs 11% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/161 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Giants defense has allowed first downs on just 3% of plays on plays when they have pressured the QB this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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