Saints vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 2

(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • The Ravens are -8.5 point favorites vs the Saints
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The New Orleans Saints (0-1-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (1-0-0) on Sep. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Baltimore, MD.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-108).

The Saints vs. Ravens Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

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Saints vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Saints+8.5 -11048.5 -165+320
Ravens -8.5 -10848.5 +125-400

Saints vs. Ravens Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 74.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Saints vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today

  • Daniel Carlson has hit the Field Goals Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Tyler Shough has hit the Completions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Tyler Shough has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Alvin Kamara has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Rashod Bateman has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Rashod Bateman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Saints

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Derrick Henry -225
Zay Flowers +115
Travis Etienne Jr. +135
Mark Andrews +150
Chris Olave +175
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.68 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.59 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.71 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Saints are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Saints are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • SaintsSaintsSaints are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Ravens are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 64.52% ROI
  • Ravens are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Ravens are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Saints were 4-2 (.667) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — T-10th-best in NFL. The Ravens allowed 247.9 passing yards per game last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

Saints are 2-10 (.167) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game (T-3rd-worst in NFL) and .667 when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2025 season (T-8th-best in NFL).

The Saints were 2-10 (.167) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game (T-4th-worst in NFL) and .800 when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season (3rd-best in NFL).

The Saints are winless (0-5) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .428.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

Ravens are 6-3 (.667) on the road (T-5th-best in NFL) and just .333 at home since the 2025 season (6th-worst in NFL).

Ravens are 3-6 (.333) at home (6th-worst in NFL) and .667 on the road since the 2025 season (T-5th-best in NFL).

The Ravens are 7-2 (.778) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2025 season — T-10th-best in NFL. The Saints has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 34 s since the 2025 season — 2nd-highest in NFL.

The Ravens were 3-6 (.333) at home (T-6th-worst in NFL) and .625 on the road last season (T-7th-best in NFL).

Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens threw for 3,278 passing yards in 17 games (just 192.8 YPG) last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Saints allowed just 179.2 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Ravens went three and out on 10.9% of their drives in the second half last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Saints forced three and outs on 12.8% of opponent drives in the second half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Ravens are 7-2 (.778) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2025 season — T-10th-best in NFL. The Saints has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 34 s since the 2025 season — 2nd-highest in NFL.

The Saints have averaged just 0.26 epa per play against open coverage since the 2025 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 0.28 epa per play with open coverage since the 2025 season — T-5th-best in NFL.

The Saints were 4-2 (.667) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — T-10th-best in NFL. The Ravens allowed 247.9 passing yards per game last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

The Saints scored just 3.9 points per Red Zone drive last season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Ravens allowed just 3.9 points per Red Zone drive last season — T-3rd-best in NFL.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats

The Saints have gone three and out 19 times in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Saints have scored on 14% of their drives (7/49) in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Saints have averaged -0.24 epa per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.07.

The Saints ran 86 plays in Week 1 — most in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 27 times since the 2025 season — most in NFL.

The Ravens rushed for 4 TDs in Week 1 — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Ravens have 152 of 310 (49%) first downs through the air since the 2025 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Ravens have averaged 10.1 yards per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats

The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 28% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 27% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 30% of plays in the 4th quarter since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 30% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

22% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Ravens defense allowed a late down conversion rate of 7% when opponents had 4-6 yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

Offenses facing the Ravens targeted TEs 18% of the time (117 Pass Attempts/656 plays) since the 2025 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Ravens defense has allowed a passer rating of just 54.9 on 3rd and short (31 Pass Attempts) since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 92.5.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.